Madison Keys and Anna Bondar will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 AM on Stadium 17. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.157
Anna Bondar -> 5.2
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Anna Bondar
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Anna Bondar face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Keys won 6-2 7-5 in the 3rd round in Charleston back in April 2026.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar – Charleston 02-April-2026
Madison Keys
35 - 14win/loss
23
5
LWWLWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-15 | 14-9 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Madison got to the 2nd round after beating Alina Korneeva 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Korneeva (7-5 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 75 points vs Korneeva’s 68. The American was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Keys bagged 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Korneeva 6 times after converting 75% of her break points (6/8).
Keys has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (251-135). 13-8 on hard in 2026. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Keys has a compiled 146-77 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Eastbourne where she beat Tatjana Maria in the final 7-5 6-4.
Madison has a composed 34-14 win-loss record in 2026, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2017. See her history.
Anna Bondar
29 - 24win/loss
64
50
LLWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32-26 | 13-13 | 17-8 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-30 | 16-16 | 21-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-33 | 10-13 | 32-13 | 7-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 3-8 | 25-15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-29 | 6-10 | 25-13 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 73, Bondar got to the 2nd round after beating Lucie Havlickova 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round, Bondar had a good straight sets win against Havlickova (6-3 6-3). During the match Bondar scored 70 points vs Havlickova’s 60. Anna was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Bondar made 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Anna Bondar lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bondar put 56% of her first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Hungarian broke Havlickova 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
The Hungarian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Hamburg.
Bondar has an overall 29-23 win-loss record in 2026, 10-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024 and 2025. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Keys | Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 |
| Pts | 75-68 | 70-60 |
| Total Points | 143 | 130 |
| Winners | 26 | 24 |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% |
Both Keys and Bondar played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Keys and Bondar have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Keys played 4 games more than Bondar. Madison scored 26 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The Hungarian made 24 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Keys | Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 37/66 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 26/44 | 24/37 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 14/29 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 48% |
Keys made 4 aces . Bondar scored 4 aces . Keys won 59% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Bondar won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Keys | Bondar |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 75% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 33% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Madison broke her opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Madison dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Bondar broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Anna conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.
| Keys | |||
| R1 Korneeva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 75-68 | 75-68 | |
| Total points | 143 | 143 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 44/77 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 26/44 | 26/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Bondar | |||
| R1 Havlickova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 70-60 | 70-60 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 37/66 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 24/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 14/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 8/10 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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