H2H, prediction of Lorenzo Musetti vs Dane Sweeny at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 3rd September 2026

PREVIEW. New York. Musetti and Sweeny will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 3rd of September

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Dane Sweeny

Lorenzo Musetti and Dane Sweeny will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 PM on Stadium 17. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.023
Dane Sweeny -> 12.75

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Dane Sweeny

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Dane Sweeny since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti

20 - 11win/loss

Hard
14-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-4
Rank
20
High
5
LWLWWWLWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 20-11 14-7 6-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2025 45-22 18-11 19-4 8-6 0-1 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 14, the Italian reached the 2nd round after beating Arthur Fery 6-3 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Fery (6-3 6-3 7-5). During the match, Musetti scored 98 points vs Fery’s 70. Musetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti bagged 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (37/48) of his 1st serve and 68% (21/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Lorenzo broke Fery 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Musetti has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (285-193). 14-6 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a composed82-63 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Musetti’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Hong Kong.

Lorenzo has an overall 20-10 win-loss record in 2026, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.

Musetti
U.S. Open
Musetti's Record

Dane Sweeny

Dane Sweeny
Dane Sweeny

26 - 22win/loss

Hard
20-18
I Hard
0-0
Clay
0-1
Grass
6-3
Rank
109
High
109
LWWLLLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 26-23 20-19 0-1 0-0 6-3 0-0
2025 78-26 71-24 0-0 0-0 7-2 0-0
2024 18-26 18-19 0-2 0-2 0-3 0-0
2023 35-33 25-23 10-8 0-1 0-1 0-0
2022 62-26 59-22 3-2 0-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 123, Dane reached the 2nd round after beating Corentin Moutet 7-6(4) 6-4 3-0.

In the 1st round, Dane had a good straight sets win against Moutet (7-64 6-4 3-0). During the match Sweeny scored 100 points vs Moutet’s 86. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about serving, Sweeny scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 6 double faults. Dane Sweeny lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sweeny put 66% of his first serves in, winning 62% (37/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. Sweeny broke Moutet 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he defeated Tristan Schoolkate in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4).

Sweeny has a compiled 25-22 win-loss record in 2026, 19-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

The Australian has never competed in this tournament before.

Sweeny
U.S. Open
Sweeny's Record
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Musetti
D.Sweeny
2h:09
2h:09
Time on court​
2h:35
2h:35
!
2h:09
2h:09
Last match​
!
2h:35
2h:35
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
26
26
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
98
98
Total points​
100
100
98
98
Avg point​
100
100
37
37
Winners
37
37
37
37
Avg Winners​
37
37
38%
38%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
1
1
7
7
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
6
6
4
4
Avg Double Faults
!
6
6
37/48
37/48
1st won total​
37/60
37/60
!
77%
77%
1st won %
62%
62%
21/31
21/31
2nd won total​
17/31
17/31
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
6/9
6/9
BP won
6/16
6/16
6/9
6/9
Avg BP won
6/16
6/16
!
67%
67%
Won
38%
38%
6
6
Conceded
11
11
6
6
Avg Conceded
11
11
2
2
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
4
4
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Musetti Sweeny
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 26
Pts 98-70 100-86
Total Points 168 186
Winners 37 37
%Winners 38% 37%

Both Musetti and Sweeny played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Musetti and Sweeny have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Musetti played 4 games more than Sweeny. Lorenzo scored 37 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian managed to score 37 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Musetti Sweeny
Aces 7 1
Avg per match 7 1
1st in 48/79 60/91
%1st in 61% 66%
1st pts 37/48 37/60
%1st pts 77% 62%
2nd pts 21/31 17/31
%2nd pts 68% 55%

Musetti fired 7 aces . Sweeny struck 1 ace . Musetti won 77% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Sweeny won 62% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Musetti Sweeny
Won 6 6
Converted 6/9 6/16
% Converted 67% 38%
Conceded 6 11
Saved 4 8
% Saved 67% 73%
Times Broken 2 3

The Italian broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Dane broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
R1
Fery		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 98-70 98-70
Total points 168 168
Winners 37 37
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 48/79 48/79
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 37/48 37/48
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 21/31 21/31
% 2nd pts 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/9 6/9
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Sweeny
R1
Moutet		 Total
Score 7-64 6-4 3-0
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 26 26
pts 100-86 100-86
Total points 186 186
Winners 37 37
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 60/91 60/91
% 1st in 66% 66%
1st pts 37/60 37/60
% 1st pts 62% 62%
2nd pts 17/31 17/31
% 2nd pts 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/16 6/16
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 11 11
Saved 8/11 8
Saved % 73% 73%
Times Broken 3 3

Head 2 Head

Lorenzo Musetti
  • 0Slam
  • 2Main
  • 2Chall
  • 2Minor
Dane Sweeny
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 1Chall
  • 15Minor

Lorenzo
Musetti

0:1

Dane
Sweeny

Rank

20

High

5

0Hard1

Rank

109

High

109

Win Loss
Musetti
WWWWWWWWWW
Sweeny
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
20 - 11
26 - 23
14-7
Hard
20-19
6-4
Clay
0-1
0-0
Grass
6-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw

Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti
More Stats
Click here
Sweeny Dane Sweeny