Alexandra Eala and Mary Stoiana will play each other in the 1st round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 PM on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexandra Eala who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexandra Eala is the pick to win this match.
Alexandra Eala -> 1.133
Mary Stoiana -> 5.75
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Prediction and head to head Alexandra Eala vs. Mary Stoiana
This will be the 2nd time that Alexandra Eala and Mary Stoiana square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Eala (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Eala won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in the W100 Landisville back in 2024.
Alexandra Eala
38 - 20win/loss
18
18
LWWLWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40-21 | 24-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 40-26 | 25-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 10-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-31 | 27-18 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-23 | 37-16 | 0-3 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-20 | 30-13 | 0-1 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the Filipino will start her run at the U.S. Open after she played her last match in Cincinnati where she lost 4-6 6-4 6-2 to Anisimova in the 3rd round on the 17th of August.
Alexandra has an overall 38-20 win-loss record in 2026, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the year was winning the title the Birmingham where she defeated Nikola Bartunkova in the final 5-7 6-3 7-5 and in Washington where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 4-6 6-4 6-0.
Talking about her overall career, The Filipino has an overall 232-137 record. She has a positive 152-79 record on hard.
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See her history.
Mary Stoiana
39 - 22win/loss
114
114
LWWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42-25 | 18-14 | 13-6 | 3-1 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 30-15 | 28-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-10 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-8 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 122 (career-high), the American reached the 1st round after beating Harmony Tan 6-4 6-3, Katie Swan 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 and Yue Yuan 6-3 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Mary defeated Yuan (6-3 4-6 6-4). During the match Stoiana scored 105 points vs Yuan’s 95. Stoiana was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Stoiana blasted 2 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Mary Stoiana lost the serve 6 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Stoiana put 59% of her first serves in, winning 56% (37/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (24/46) on the 2nd serve. Mary broke Yuan 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stoiana started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
WTA U.S. Open - Mary Stoiana's projected path
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the W35 Boca Raton.
Stoiana has an overall 39-22 win-loss record in 2026, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Lucie HavlickovaHavlickova – Nao HibinoHibino (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Storm HunterHunter – Darja SemenistajaSemenistaja (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Arantxa RusRus – Susan BandecchiBandecchi (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Elena PridankinaPridankina (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Mary StoianaStoiana – Yue YuanYuan (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Anouk KoevermansKoevermans – Mariam BolkvadzeBolkvadze (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Harriet DartDart – Heather WatsonWatson (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Himeno SakatsumeSakatsume – Mia RisticRistic (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Elvina KalievaKalieva – Vendula ValdmannovaValdmannova (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Kristina LiutovaLiutova – Martyna KubkaKubka (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Francesca JonesJones – Joanna GarlandGarland (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lucrezia StefaniniStefanini – Julieta ParejaPareja (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Gabriela Andrea KnutsonAndrea Knutson – Ekaterine GorgodzeGorgodze (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Robin MontgomeryMontgomery – Carson BranstineBranstine (2-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Polina IatcenkoIatcenko – Andrea Lazaro GarciaLazaro Garcia (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
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