H2H, prediction of Tomas Barrios Vera vs Daniel Rincon at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 27th August 2026

PREVIEW. New York. Tomas Barrios Vera and Rincon will clash against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 27th of August

Prediction and head to head Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Daniel Rincon

Tomas Barrios Vera and Daniel Rincon will square off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 AM on Court 10. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Barrios Vera who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Barrios Vera is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 1.58
Daniel Rincon -> 2.29

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Tomas Barrios Vera vs. Daniel Rincon

There is no head to head record between Tomas Barrios Vera and Daniel Rincon since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Tomas Barrios Vera
Tomas Barrios Vera

24 - 25win/loss

Hard
9-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-16
Grass
2-2
Rank
137
High
93
LWWWLLLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 24-26 9-8 13-16 0-0 2-2 0-0
2025 52-28 5-5 43-20 0-1 4-2 0-0
2024 36-28 6-5 26-19 0-1 4-3 0-0
2023 50-30 4-7 42-22 0-0 4-1 0-0
2022 23-17 3-1 20-14 0-0 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 144, the Chilean got to the qualifications after defeating Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-2 5-7 6-0 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-3 6-1.

In the qualifications, Tomas Barrios Vera had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-3 6-1). During the match, Tomas Barrios Vera scored 65 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 45. The Chilean was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tomas Barrios Vera struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Tomas Barrios Vera lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tomas Barrios Vera put 60% of his first serves in, winning 78% (25/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. The Chilean broke Alberto Olivieri 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas Barrios Vera started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.

Tomas Barrios Vera has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (367-230). 8-7 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tomas Barrios Vera has an overall 73-58 record in the last years on hard.

Marcelo has an overall 23-25 win-loss record in 2026, 8-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021, 2023, 2024 and 2025. See his history.

Tomas Barrios Vera
U.S. Open
Tomas Barrios Vera's Record

Daniel Rincon

Daniel Rincon
Daniel Rincon

31 - 21win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
25-14
Rank
260
High
181
LLWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 34-25 8-9 25-14 1-2 0-0 0-0
2025 32-28 8-2 15-21 9-4 0-1 0-0
2024 29-28 3-7 25-19 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 50-30 19-7 31-18 0-2 0-3 0-0
2022 47-29 6-10 31-16 10-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 208, Daniel reached the qualifications after beating Titouan Droguet 2-6 6-4 7-6(1) and Jordan Lee 6-3 4-6 6-1.

In the qualifications, The Spaniard defeated Lee (6-3 4-6 6-1). During the match Rincon scored 89 points vs Lee’s 71. Rincon was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Rincon blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Daniel Rincon was very efficient on serve to win 80% (36/45) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Spaniard broke Lee 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Daniel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Rincon’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Vic.

Rincon has a composed 31-20 win-loss record in 2026, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Rincon
U.S. Open
Rincon's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Tomas Vera
D.Rincon
3h:18
3h:18
Time on court​
!
5h:00
5h:00
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:57
1h:57
2
2
Match played
2
2
42
42
Games Played​
57
57
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
152
152
Total points​
203
203
76
76
Avg point​
101.5
101.5
56
56
Winners
74
74
28
28
Avg Winners​
37
37
37%
37%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
10
10
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
5
5
4
4
Double Faults
8
8
2
2
Avg Double Faults
4
4
56/76
56/76
1st won total​
74/102
74/102
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
34/55
34/55
2nd won total​
42/83
42/83
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
10/22
10/22
BP won
9/26
9/26
5/11
5/11
Avg BP won
4.5/13
4.5/13
45%
45%
Won
35%
35%
10
10
Conceded
19
19
5
5
Avg Conceded
9.5
9.5
2
2
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
3.5
3.5
8
8
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tomas Barrios Vera Rincon
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 42 57
Pts 152-107 203-177
Total Points 259 380
Winners 56 74
%Winners 37% 36%

Both Tomas Barrios Vera and Rincon played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Barrios Vera lost 1 set, while Daniel Rincon conceded 2 sets. Tomas Barrios Vera has played 1 set(s) less than Rincon (5 vs 6). Therefore, Tomas Barrios Vera played 15 games less than Rincon. The Chilean scored 56 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel scored 74 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tomas Barrios Vera Rincon
Aces 3 10
Avg per match 1.5 5
1st in 76/131 102/185
%1st in 58% 55%
1st pts 56/76 74/102
%1st pts 74% 73%
2nd pts 34/55 42/83
%2nd pts 62% 51%

Tomas Barrios Vera managed to score 3 aces (1.5 per match). Rincon managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Tomas Barrios Vera won 74% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Rincon won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tomas Barrios Vera Rincon
Won 10 9
Converted 10/22 9/26
% Converted 45% 35%
Conceded 10 19
Saved 8 12
% Saved 80% 63%
Times Broken 2 7

Tomas Barrios Vera broke his opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera dropped his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Rincon broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Rincon conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Tomas Barrios Vera
Q1
Carlos Prado Angelo
Q2
Alberto Olivieri
Total
Score 6-2 5-7 6-0 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 16 42
pts 87-62 65-45 152-107
Total points 149 110 259
Winners 31 25 56
%Winners 36% 38% 37%
SERVE
Aces 0 3 3
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 44/78 32/53 76/131
% 1st in 56% 60% 58%
1st pts 31/44 25/32 56/76
% 1st pts 70% 78% 74%
2nd pts 24/34 10/21 34/55
% 2nd pts 71% 48% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/8 5/14 10/22
Converted % 63% 36% 45%
Conceded 5 5 10
Saved 4/5 4/5 8
Saved % 80% 80% 80%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Rincon
Q1
Droguet
Q2
Lee
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 7-61 6-3 4-6 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 26 57
pts 114-106 89-71 203-177
Total points 220 160 380
Winners 38 36 74
%Winners 33% 40% 36%
SERVE
Aces 5 5 10
Double Faults 6 2 8
1st in 57/109 45/76 102/185
% 1st in 52% 59% 55%
1st pts 38/57 36/45 74/102
% 1st pts 67% 80% 73%
2nd pts 25/52 17/31 42/83
% 2nd pts 48% 55% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/17 4/9 9/26
Converted % 29% 44% 35%
Conceded 15 4 19
Saved 9/15 3/4 12
Saved % 60% 75% 68%
Times Broken 6 1 7

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Barrios Vera
WWWWWWWWWW
Rincon
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
23 - 26
34 - 25
9-8
Hard
8-9
0-0
I Hard
1-2
12-16
Clay
25-14
2-2
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw