H2H, prediction of Jacob Fearnley vs Jurij Rodionov at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 27th August 2026

PREVIEW. New York. Fearnley and Rodionov will square off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 27th of August

Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Jurij Rodionov

Jacob Fearnley and Jurij Rodionov will fight against each other in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 AM on Court 5. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.28
Jurij Rodionov -> 3.46

 

 

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Jurij Rodionov

There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Jurij Rodionov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Jacob Fearnley

Jacob Fearnley
Jacob Fearnley

28 - 21win/loss

Hard
14-12
I Hard
1-2
Clay
2-3
Grass
11-4
Rank
94
High
49
LWLWWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 29-23 15-14 2-3 1-2 11-4 0-0
2025 33-27 11-10 10-6 9-7 3-4 0-0
2024 45-9 10-2 0-0 26-4 9-3 0-0
2023 17-4 0-0 0-0 16-2 1-2 0-0
2022 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 100, Fearnley got to the qualifications after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(3) 6-3 and Luka Pavlovic 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4.

In the qualifications, The Brit defeated Pavlovic (6-4 6-74 6-4). During the match, Fearnley scored 106 points vs Pavlovic’s 95. Jacob was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fearnley blasted 2 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Jacob Fearnley was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (46/58) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jacob broke Pavlovic 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fearnley started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Fearnley has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (134-67). 14-12 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fearnley has an overall45-28 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Newport Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 5-7 7-6(8) 6-4.

Jacob has an aggregate 28-21 win-loss record in 2026, 14-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2025. See his history.

Fearnley
U.S. Open
Fearnley's Record

Jurij Rodionov

Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov

36 - 21win/loss

Hard
7-3
I Hard
9-5
Clay
14-10
Grass
6-3
Rank
139
High
87
WWLWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 41-23 10-5 16-10 9-5 6-3 0-0
2025 41-30 17-12 14-10 10-7 0-1 0-0
2024 27-32 10-10 6-12 11-7 0-3 0-0
2023 44-33 3-6 15-13 21-11 5-3 0-0
2022 45-31 5-5 16-11 21-11 3-4 0-0

Ranked no. 143, Jurij got to the qualifications after defeating Kimmer Coppejans 6-1 6-4 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 6-2 3-6 6-1.

In the qualifications, Rodionov defeated Ferreira Silva (6-2 3-6 6-1). During the match Rodionov scored 84 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 73. Rodionov was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Rodionov blasted 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 54% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the 2nd serve. The Austrian broke Ferreira Silva 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rodionov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Austrian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger,the Madrid Challenger and the Dublin Challenger.

The Austrian has a composed 36-21 win-loss record in 2026, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021 and 2024. See his history.

Rodionov
U.S. Open
Rodionov's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Fearnley
J.Rodionov
4h:13
4h:13
Time on court​
3h:29
3h:29
!
2h:18
2h:18
Last match​
!
2h:02
2h:02
2
2
Match played
2
2
55
55
Games Played​
41
41
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
189
189
Total points​
147
147
94.5
94.5
Avg point​
73.5
73.5
87
87
Winners
50
50
43.5
43.5
Avg Winners​
25
25
46%
46%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
9
9
Aces
14
14
4.5
4.5
Avg Aces
7
7
16
16
Double Faults
2
2
!
8
8
Avg Double Faults
1
1
87/109
87/109
1st won total​
50/72
50/72
!
80%
80%
1st won %
69%
69%
33/71
33/71
2nd won total​
38/66
38/66
46%
46%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
6/11
6/11
BP won
8/17
8/17
3/5.5
3/5.5
Avg BP won
4/8.5
4/8.5
!
55%
55%
Won
47%
47%
14
14
Conceded
9
9
7
7
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
3
3
Broken
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1
1
11
11
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fearnley Rodionov
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 55 41
Pts 189-169 147-126
Total Points 358 273
Winners 87 50
%Winners 46% 34%

Both Fearnley and Rodionov played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Jacob Fearnley surrendered 1 set, while Jurij Rodionov dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Fearnley and Rodionov have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Fearnley played 14 games more than Rodionov. Fearnley scored 87 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian blasted 50 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fearnley Rodionov
Aces 9 14
Avg per match 4.5 7
1st in 109/180 72/138
%1st in 61% 52%
1st pts 87/109 50/72
%1st pts 80% 69%
2nd pts 33/71 38/66
%2nd pts 46% 58%

Fearnley bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Rodionov blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Fearnley won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fearnley Rodionov
Won 6 8
Converted 6/11 8/17
% Converted 55% 47%
Conceded 14 9
Saved 11 7
% Saved 79% 78%
Times Broken 3 2

Jacob broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Brit lost his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Jurij broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Jurij conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Fearnley
Q1
Carballes Baena
Q2
Pavlovic
Total
Score 7-63 6-3 6-4 6-74 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 22 33 55
pts 83-74 106-95 189-169
Total points 157 201 358
Winners 41 46 87
%Winners 49% 43% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 2 9
Double Faults 7 9 16
1st in 51/87 58/93 109/180
% 1st in 59% 62% 61%
1st pts 41/51 46/58 87/109
% 1st pts 80% 79% 80%
2nd pts 15/36 18/35 33/71
% 2nd pts 42% 51% 46%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/2 4/9 6/11
Converted % 100% 44% 55%
Conceded 8 6 14
Saved 7/8 4/6 11
Saved % 88% 67% 78%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Rodionov
Q1
Coppejans
Q2
Ferreira Silva
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 24 41
pts 63-53 84-73 147-126
Total points 116 157 273
Winners 22 28 50
%Winners 35% 33% 34%
SERVE
Aces 4 10 14
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 29/58 43/80 72/138
% 1st in 50% 54% 52%
1st pts 22/29 28/43 50/72
% 1st pts 76% 65% 69%
2nd pts 17/29 21/37 38/66
% 2nd pts 59% 57% 58%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/10 5/7 8/17
Converted % 30% 71% 47%
Conceded 1 8 9
Saved 1/1 6/8 7
Saved % 100% 75% 88%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Fearnley
WWWWWWWWWW
Rodionov
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
28 - 23
37 - 23
15-14
Hard
10-5
0-2
I Hard
7-5
2-3
Clay
14-10
11-4
Grass
6-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

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