H2H, prediction of Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moeller in Hamburg Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 15th August 2026

PREVIEW. Hamburg Challenger. Dodig and Moeller will play each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 15th of August

Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Marvin Moeller

Matej Dodig and Marvin Moeller will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Hamburg Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matej Dodig who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matej Dodig is the pick to win this match.
Matej Dodig -> 1.55
Marvin Moeller -> 2.26

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Matej Dodig vs. Marvin Moeller

This will be the 2nd time that Matej Dodig and Marvin Moeller square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Moeller (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Moeller won 6-4 6-2 in the semifinal in M15 Sofia back in 2023.

Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig

23 - 17win/loss

Hard
0-4
I Hard
5-3
Clay
17-9
Grass
1-1
Rank
174
High
171
LLWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 31-20 0-4 25-11 5-4 1-1 0-0
2025 36-32 0-0 24-22 12-10 0-0 0-0
2024 46-26 14-5 30-20 2-1 0-0 0-0
2023 43-16 1-2 38-12 2-1 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 251, Matej got to the semifinal after defeating Denis Yevseyev 6-3 6-1, Rudolf Molleker 6-4 6-3 and Saba Purtseladze 2-2 ret..

In the quarter against Purtseladze, Matej had a free pass after Purtseladze retired on a 2-2 . scoreline.

Dodig has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 62% of his matches (148-91). 17-9 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dodig has an aggregate109-63 record in the last 4 years on clay.

Dodig’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger.

Dodig has a compiled 23-17 win-loss record in 2026, 17-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hamburg Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2025. See his history.

Dodig
Hamburg Challenger
Dodig's Record

Marvin Moeller

Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller

40 - 17win/loss

Clay
24-10
Rank
256
High
256
LWLWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 45-22 0-0 29-15 16-7 0-0 0-0
2025 43-25 1-2 29-16 13-7 0-0 0-0
2024 25-18 0-0 13-13 12-5 0-0 0-0
2023 59-27 2-1 36-16 20-8 0-0 1-2
2022 18-7 0-0 2-2 16-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 327, Moeller reached the semifinal after defeating Cezar Cretu 6-1 5-7 6-4, Raul Brancaccio 5-7 7-6(5) 7-6(4) and Niels Mcdonald 6-4 6-0.

In the quarter, Moeller had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-4 6-0). During the match Moeller scored 61 points vs Mcdonald’s 41. Moeller was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Moeller made 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marvin Moeller was very effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Moeller broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Moeller has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

ATP Hamburg Challenger - Marvin Moeller's projected path

Projected draw

His best result of the year was winning the title the Troyes Challenger where he beat Kilian Feldbausch in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

Marvin has a compiled 40-17 win-loss record in 2026, 24-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Hamburg Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.

Moeller
Hamburg Challenger
Moeller's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Dodig
M.Moeller
2h:36
2h:36
Time on court​
!
7h:20
7h:20
!
0h:23
0h:23
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
3
3
Match played
3
3
39
39
Games Played​
83
83
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
141
141
Total points​
315
315
47
47
Avg point​
105
105
60
60
Winners
118
118
20
20
Avg Winners​
39.3
39.3
43%
43%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
10
10
6.3
6.3
Avg Aces
3.3
3.3
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
0.3
0.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
60/80
60/80
1st won total​
118/175
118/175
!
75%
75%
1st won %
67%
67%
27/46
27/46
2nd won total​
57/111
57/111
59%
59%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
7/13
7/13
BP won
16/31
16/31
2.3/4.3
2.3/4.3
Avg BP won
5.3/10.3
5.3/10.3
!
54%
54%
Won
!
52%
52%
11
11
Conceded
41
41
3.7
3.7
Avg Conceded
13.7
13.7
1
1
Broken
11
11
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
3.7
3.7
10
10
Saved
30
30

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Dodig Moeller
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 39 83
Pts 141-108 315-272
Total Points 249 587
Winners 60 118
%Winners 43% 37%

Both Dodig and Moeller played 3 matches. At the moment, Marvin Moeller surrendered 2 sets while Matej Dodig hasn’t lost a set so far. Dodig has played 2 set(s) less than Moeller (6 vs 8). Therefore, Dodig played 44 games less than Moeller. Dodig scored 60 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Moeller struck 118 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Dodig Moeller
Aces 19 10
Avg per match 6.3 3.3
1st in 80/126 175/286
%1st in 63% 61%
1st pts 60/80 118/175
%1st pts 75% 67%
2nd pts 27/46 57/111
%2nd pts 59% 51%

Dodig struck 19 aces (6.3 per match). Moeller scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Dodig won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Moeller won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Dodig Moeller
Won 7 16
Converted 7/13 16/31
% Converted 54% 52%
Conceded 11 41
Saved 10 30
% Saved 91% 73%
Times Broken 1 11

Matej broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Croatian lost his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Moeller broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. Moeller conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Dodig
R1
Yevseyev
R2
Molleker
1/4
Purtseladze
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-4 6-3 2-2 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 1 5
Tot Games 16 19 4 39
pts 63-41 65-55 13-12 141-108
Total points 104 120 25 249
Winners 19 33 8 60
%Winners 30% 51% 62% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 12 2 19
Double Faults 1 0 0 1
1st in 26/43 44/71 10/12 80/126
% 1st in 60% 62% 83% 63%
1st pts 19/26 33/44 8/10 60/80
% 1st pts 73% 75% 80% 75%
2nd pts 11/17 15/27 1/2 27/46
% 2nd pts 65% 56% 50% 59%
Breaks
Won 5 2 0 7
Converted 5/9 2/3 0/1 7/13
Converted % 56% 67% 0% 54%
Conceded 1 8 2 11
Saved 0/1 8/8 2/2 10
Saved % 0% 100% 100% 67%
Times Broken 1 0 0 1
Moeller
R1
Cretu
R2
Brancaccio
1/4
Mcdonald
Total
Score 6-1 5-7 6-4 5-7 7-65 7-64 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 29 38 16 83
pts 107-90 147-141 61-41 315-272
Total points 197 288 102 587
Winners 41 52 25 118
%Winners 38% 35% 41% 37%
SERVE
Aces 3 4 3 10
Double Faults 1 2 0 3
1st in 55/92 86/146 34/48 175/286
% 1st in 60% 59% 71% 61%
1st pts 41/55 52/86 25/34 118/175
% 1st pts 75% 60% 74% 67%
2nd pts 17/37 31/60 9/14 57/111
% 2nd pts 46% 52% 64% 51%
Breaks
Won 6 6 4 16
Converted 6/12 6/13 4/6 16/31
Converted % 50% 46% 67% 52%
Conceded 16 23 2 41
Saved 12/16 16/23 2/2 30
Saved % 75% 70% 100% 82%
Times Broken 4 7 0 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Dodig
WWWWWWWWWW
Moeller
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
31 - 18
45 - 22
5-2
I Hard
16-7
25-11
Clay
29-15
1-1
Grass
0-0

Tennis Scores in Hamburg Challenger

  • Admir Kalender/Nino SerdarusicKalender/Nino SerdarusicSergio Martos Gornes/Szymon WalkowMartos Gornes/Szymon Walkow (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw