Hayato Matsuoka and Takuya Kumasaka will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Astana Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hayato Matsuoka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hayato Matsuoka is the pick to win this match.
Hayato Matsuoka -> 1.29
Takuya Kumasaka -> 3.2
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Hayato Matsuoka vs. Takuya Kumasaka
This will be the 3rd time that Hayato Matsuoka and Takuya Kumasaka fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Kumasaka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Kumasaka won 5-7 6-1 7-6(2) in the qualifications in the Matsuyama Challenger back in 2025.
Hayato Matsuoka
27 - 21win/loss
243
243
LWLLLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32-25 | 31-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 38-30 | 31-23 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 26-15 | 13-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 15-13 | 10-9 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 309 (career-high), the Japanese got to the 2nd round after defeating Koki Matsuda 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Hayato had a good straight sets win against Matsuda (6-3 6-4). During the match, Matsuoka scored 63 points vs Matsuda’s 48. Matsuoka was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Matsuoka blasted 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hayato Matsuoka was pretty efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Hayato broke Matsuda 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Matsuoka has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 56% of his matches (122-94). 26-19 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Matsuoka has an overall93-67 record in the last 5 years on hard.
Hayato has a composed 27-21 win-loss record in 2026, 26-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Hayato has never competed in this tournament before.
Takuya Kumasaka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-22 | 20-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-23 | 46-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-22 | 31-19 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-24 | 18-12 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 22-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 549, Takuya reached the 2nd round after defeating Colin Sinclair 6-2 7-6(4).
In the 1st round, Takuya had a good straight sets win against Sinclair (6-2 7-64). During the match Kumasaka scored 66 points vs Sinclair’s 56. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Kumasaka blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Takuya Kumasaka was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 74% (23/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Sinclair twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Kumasaka’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Nakhon Pathom.
The Japanese has an overall 20-19 win-loss record in 2026, 20-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Astana Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 |
| Pts | 63-48 | 66-56 |
| Total Points | 111 | 122 |
| Winners | 32 | 24 |
| %Winners | 51% | 36% |
Both Matsuoka and Kumasaka played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Matsuoka and Kumasaka have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Matsuoka played 2 games less than Kumasaka. Matsuoka scored 32 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 24 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 40/54 | 33/64 |
| %1st in | 74% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 24/33 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 23/31 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 74% |
Matsuoka struck 6 aces . Kumasaka recorded 3 aces . Matsuoka won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Kumasaka won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/3 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Kumasaka broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Kumasaka was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Matsuoka | |||
| R1 Matsuda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 63-48 | 63-48 | |
| Total points | 111 | 111 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/54 | 40/54 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 32/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Kumasaka | |||
| R1 Sinclair |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 66-56 | 66-56 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/64 | 33/64 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/31 | 23/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 74% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Astana Challenger
- Jie CuiCui – Aziz OuakaaOuakaa (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Amir OmarkhanovOmarkhanov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Zangar NurlanulyNurlanuly (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Manas Manoj DhamneManoj Dhamne – Vadym UrsuUrsu (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Kasidit SamrejSamrej – Kokoro IsomuraIsomura (5-7 6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – Colin SinclairSinclair (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Sergey FominFomin – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Erik ArutiunianArutiunian – Sanhui ShinShin (6-1 1-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Petr Bar BiryukovBar Biryukov – Taisei IchikawaIchikawa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Masamichi ImamuraImamura – Antoine GhibaudoGhibaudo (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Alec DeckersDeckers (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mert AlkayaAlkaya – Sidharth RawatRawat (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Hayato MatsuokaMatsuoka – Koki MatsudaMatsuda (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Alexandr BindaBinda (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lucio RattiRatti – Tai SachSach (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Semen PankinPankin – Dominik PalanPalan (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Alec DeckersDeckers (6-3 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sergey FominFomin – Maxim ZhukovZhukov (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aziz DougazDougaz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Semen PankinPankin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sergey FominFomin – Kasidit SamrejSamrej (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Mert AlkayaAlkaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Takuya KumasakaKumasaka – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
