Andre Ilagan and Sebastian Gorzny will play each other in the quarter of the Lexington Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andre Ilagan who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andre Ilagan is the pick to win this match.
Andre Ilagan -> 1.45
Sebastian Gorzny -> 2.51
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Andre Ilagan vs. Sebastian Gorzny
There is no head to head record between Andre Ilagan and Sebastian Gorzny since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Andre Ilagan
37 - 21win/loss
184
181
LLLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42-26 | 27-20 | 0-0 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 35-33 | 30-27 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 243 (career-high), Andre reached the quarter after defeating Andres Andrade 6-3 6-4 and Soon-Woo Kwon 3-6 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Kwon, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-4). During the match, Ilagan scored 127 points vs Kwon’s 125. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ilagan blasted 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Andre Ilagan lost the serve 5 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Ilagan put 59% of his first serves in, winning 61% (57/93) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (32/65) on the 2nd serve. Ilagan broke Kwon 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Andre Ilagan's projected path
Ilagan has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (155-96). 21-15 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ilagan has a compiled126-76 record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Maanshan and the Tyler Challenger.
Andre has a composed 36-21 win-loss record in 2026, 21-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2025. See his history.
Sebastian Gorzny
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16-13 | 15-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 876 (career-high), Gorzny got to the quarter after defeating Yu Hsiou Hsu 3-6 6-1 6-2 and Borna Gojo 6-4 2-6 7-6(3).
In the 2nd round, Sebastian defeated Gojo (6-4 2-6 7-63).During the match Gorzny scored less points (6) than Gojo. In fact, the world no. 243 won 100 points vs Gojo’s. That means that Gorzny was more focused during the important points. Gorzny was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Gorzny made 8 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Sebastian Gorzny lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Gorzny put 49% of his first serves in, winning 68% (38/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (28/58) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Gojo 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gorzny has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Sebastian Gorzny's projected path
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Wichita.
Sebastian has a composed 10-7 win-loss record in 2026, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Gorzny has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ilagan | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 55 |
| Pts | 198-183 | 183-176 |
| Total Points | 381 | 359 |
| Winners | 91 | 69 |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% |
Both Ilagan and Gorzny played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andre Ilagan lost 1 set, while Sebastian Gorzny dropped 2 sets. Ilagan has played 1 set(s) less than Gorzny (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ilagan played 4 games less than Gorzny. Ilagan scored 91 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Gorzny struck 69 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ilagan | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 135/223 | 102/193 |
| %1st in | 61% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 91/135 | 69/102 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 44/88 | 49/91 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 54% |
Ilagan scored 12 aces (6 per match). Gorzny blasted 17 aces (8.5 per match). Ilagan won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Gorzny won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ilagan | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 7 |
| Converted | 6/12 | 7/13 |
| % Converted | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded | 22 | 22 |
| Saved | 17 | 17 |
| % Saved | 77% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Andre broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ilagan dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Gorzny broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ilagan | ||||
| R1 Andrade |
R2 Kwon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 | 51 | |
| pts | 71-58 | 127-125 | 198-183 | |
| Total points | 129 | 252 | 381 | |
| Winners | 34 | 57 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 45% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 42/65 | 93/158 | 135/223 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 57/93 | 91/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 61% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 32/65 | 44/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 49% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 4/7 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 20 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 15/20 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Gorzny | ||||
| R1 Hsiou |
R2 Gojo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 2-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 31 | 55 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 100-106 | 183-176 | |
| Total points | 153 | 206 | 359 | |
| Winners | 31 | 38 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 9 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 46/79 | 56/114 | 102/193 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 49% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | 38/56 | 69/102 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 28/58 | 49/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 48% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/7 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 43% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 15 | 22 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 11/15 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 73% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andre IlaganIlagan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
