Andres Martin and Spencer Johnson will square off in the quarter of the Lexington Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Spencer Johnson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Spencer Johnson is the pick to win this match.
Spencer Johnson -> 1.68
Andres Martin -> 2.03
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Andres Martin vs. Spencer Johnson
There is no head to head record between Andres Martin and Spencer Johnson since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Andres Martin
20 - 23win/loss
322
250
LWWLLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 22-25 | 19-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 47-28 | 32-18 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-16 | 14-11 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-17 | 14-11 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-8 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340, the American reached the quarter after defeating Alex Kobelt 6-1 6-1, Trevor Svajda 6-4 7-6(2), Nicolas Arseneault 6-2 6-2 and Millen Hurrion 6-3 4-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Martin defeated Hurrion (6-3 4-6 6-2). During the match, Martin scored 90 points vs Hurrion’s 72. Andres was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Martin bagged 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Andres Martin lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Martin put 72% of his first serves in, winning 69% (41/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Hurrion 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to win 58% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Andres Martin's projected path
Martin has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 57% of his matches (122-91). 17-13 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Martin has a composed91-60 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Andres has an overall 20-22 win-loss record in 2026, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2025. See his history.
Spencer Johnson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-9 | 33-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-10 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 524 (career-high), Spencer got to the quarter after beating Matthew Forbes 6-1 7-5, Ryan Colby 6-1 6-7(4) 7-6(2), Moez Echargui 6-4 6-3 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend 6-3 6-0.
In the 2nd round, Johnson had a good straight sets win against Dylan Hara Friend (6-3 6-0). During the match Johnson scored 62 points vs Dylan Hara Friend’s 38. The American was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Johnson managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Spencer Johnson was quite efficient on serve to win 86% (24/28) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Johnson broke Dylan Hara Friend 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
ATP Lexington Challenger - Spencer Johnson's projected path
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Irvine,M15 Claremont and M15 Rancho Santa Fe.
Spencer has a composed 29-5 win-loss record in 2026, 29-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Martin | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 86 |
| Pts | 293-213 | 302-219 |
| Total Points | 506 | 521 |
| Winners | 119 | 126 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Martin and Johnson played 4 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Andres Martin conceded 1 set, while Spencer Johnson dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Martin and Johnson have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Martin played 6 games less than Johnson. The American scored 119 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 126 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Martin | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 164/256 | 160/255 |
| %1st in | 64% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 119/164 | 126/160 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 49/92 | 53/95 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 56% |
Martin made 10 aces (2.5 per match). Johnson fired 29 aces (7.3 per match). Martin won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Johnson won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Martin | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 16 |
| Converted | 20/39 | 16/31 |
| % Converted | 51% | 52% |
| Conceded | 20 | 11 |
| Saved | 13 | 6 |
| % Saved | 65% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 5 |
Andres broke his opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. Andres conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 16 times with a 52% conversion rate. Spencer conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Martin | ||||||
| Q1 Kobelt |
Q3 Svajda |
R1 Arseneault |
R2 Hurrion |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 7-62 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 23 | 16 | 27 | 80 | |
| pts | 55-25 | 78-69 | 70-47 | 90-72 | 293-213 | |
| Total points | 80 | 147 | 117 | 162 | 506 | |
| Winners | 20 | 38 | 20 | 41 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% | 29% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 24/37 | 51/80 | 30/57 | 59/82 | 164/256 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 53% | 72% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 20/24 | 38/51 | 20/30 | 41/59 | 119/164 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 75% | 67% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 12/29 | 18/27 | 9/23 | 49/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 41% | 67% | 39% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/7 | 5/16 | 6/8 | 20/39 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 57% | 31% | 75% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 6/9 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 80% | 67% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Johnson | ||||||
| Q1 Forbes |
Q3 Colby |
R1 Echargui |
R2 Dylan Hara Friend |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-1 6-74 7-62 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 33 | 19 | 15 | 86 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 113-92 | 62-45 | 62-38 | 302-219 | |
| Total points | 109 | 205 | 107 | 100 | 521 | |
| Winners | 26 | 46 | 30 | 24 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 48% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 61/101 | 36/52 | 28/50 | 160/255 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 69% | 56% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 46/61 | 30/36 | 24/28 | 126/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 83% | 86% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 17/40 | 11/16 | 13/22 | 53/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 43% | 69% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/11 | 2/5 | 4/9 | 16/31 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 40% | 44% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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