Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Spencer Johnson will square off in the 2nd round of the Lexington Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jay Dylan Hara Friend who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the pick to win this match.
Jay Dylan Hara Friend -> 1.63
Spencer Johnson -> 2.11
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs. Spencer Johnson
This will be the 2nd time that Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Spencer Johnson square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Dylan Hara Friend (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Dylan Hara Friend won 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the qualifications in the Fairfield Challenger back in 2025.
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
21 - 12win/loss
258
254
LWWWWLWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27-15 | 25-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 18-9 | 10-3 | 7-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-7 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-8 | 2-3 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 314 (career-high), the Japanese got to the 2nd round after beating Colton Smith 5-7 7-6(4) 6-3.
In the 1st round against Smith, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-64 6-3). During the match, Dylan Hara Friend scored 131 points vs Smith’s 126. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about the service games, Dylan Hara Friend scored 7 aces and he was not very solid on his 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Jay Dylan Hara Friend lost the serve 3 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Dylan Hara Friend put 56% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (29/59) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Smith 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).
Dylan Hara Friend has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 67% of his matches (86-43). 19-9 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dylan Hara Friend has a compiled64-26 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
Jay has a composed 21-11 win-loss record in 2026, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lexington Challenger
Dylan Hara Friend has never competed in this tournament before.
Spencer Johnson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33-9 | 33-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-10 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 524 (career-high), the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Matthew Forbes 6-1 7-5, Ryan Colby 6-1 6-7(4) 7-6(2) and Moez Echargui 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Johnson had a good straight sets win against Echargui (6-4 6-3). During the match Johnson scored 62 points vs Echargui’s 45. The American was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Johnson recorded 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Spencer Johnson was exceptionally effective on serve to win 83% (30/36) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Johnson broke Echargui twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Johnson’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Irvine,M15 Claremont and M15 Rancho Santa Fe.
Spencer has a composed 28-5 win-loss record in 2026, 28-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dylan Hara Friend | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 71 |
| Pts | 131-126 | 240-181 |
| Total Points | 257 | 421 |
| Winners | 50 | 102 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Dylan Hara Friend played 1 match while Johnson competed in 3 matches. Johnson started his run from the qualifications while Dylan Hara Friend had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Jay Dylan Hara Friend lost 1 set, while Spencer Johnson conceded 1 set. Dylan Hara Friend has played 4 set(s) less than Johnson (3 vs 7). Therefore, Dylan Hara Friend played 37 games less than Johnson. Jay scored 50 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Spencer managed to score 102 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dylan Hara Friend | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 8 |
| 1st in | 74/133 | 132/205 |
| %1st in | 56% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 50/74 | 102/132 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 29/59 | 40/73 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 55% |
Dylan Hara Friend bagged 7 aces . Johnson blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Dylan Hara Friend won 68% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Johnson won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dylan Hara Friend | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/15 | 12/22 |
| % Converted | 27% | 55% |
| Conceded | 16 | 10 |
| Saved | 13 | 5 |
| % Saved | 81% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Dylan Hara Friend broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Jay lost his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dylan Hara Friend | |||
| R1 Smith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-64 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 131-126 | 131-126 | |
| Total points | 257 | 257 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 15 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 74/133 | 74/133 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 50/74 | 50/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/59 | 29/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 13/16 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 81% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Johnson | |||||
| Q1 Forbes |
Q3 Colby |
R1 Echargui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-1 6-74 7-62 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 33 | 19 | 71 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 113-92 | 62-45 | 240-181 | |
| Total points | 109 | 205 | 107 | 421 | |
| Winners | 26 | 46 | 30 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 61/101 | 36/52 | 132/205 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 46/61 | 30/36 | 102/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 83% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 17/40 | 11/16 | 40/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 43% | 69% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/11 | 2/5 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 40% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 1 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 100% | 150% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Lexington Challenger
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh – Federico CinaCina (7-63 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Soon-Woo KwonKwon (3-6 7-64 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sebastian GorznyGorzny – Borna GojoGojo (6-4 2-6 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andre IlaganIlagan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
