Daria Kasatkina and Alana Smith will play each other in the qualifications of the Mubadala DC Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on JOHN HARRIS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.069
Alana Smith -> 6.55
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Alana Smith
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Alana Smith since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
19 - 14win/loss
87
8
LLLLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-20 | 7-10 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Darya got to the qualifications after defeating Mariam Bolkvadze 6-7(3) 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications against Bolkvadze, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 121 points vs Bolkvadze’s 108. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina managed to score 3 aces and she was not very solid on her 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 7 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 58% (40/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Bolkvadze 11 times after converting 44% of her break points (11/25).
Kasatkina has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (300-205). 5-5 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an overall 150-121 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the La Bisbal D’Emporda where she beat Tamara Korpatsch in the final 2-6 6-3 7-5.
The Australian has a composed 18-14 win-loss record in 2026, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See her history.
Alana Smith
17 - 21win/loss
488
291
WWLWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-24 | 15-14 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 23-29 | 13-20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-29 | 16-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-23 | 21-14 | 5-4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 464, the American reached the qualifications after beating Lea Ma 6-4 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Ma (6-4 7-65). During the match Smith scored 76 points vs Ma’s 75. Alana was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Smith managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alana Smith was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (36/51) of her 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Smith was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Ma twice.
Smith has an aggregate 17-20 win-loss record in 2026, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2025. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 |
| Pts | 121-108 | 76-75 |
| Total Points | 229 | 151 |
| Winners | 40 | 36 |
| %Winners | 33% | 47% |
Both Kasatkina and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daria Kasatkina dropped 1 set while Alana Smith hasn’t lost a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Smith (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kasatkina played 6 games more than Smith. The Australian scored 40 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 36 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 69/107 | 51/82 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 36/51 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 17/31 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 55% |
Kasatkina recorded 3 aces . Smith scored 2 aces . Kasatkina won 58% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 2 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 44% | 100% |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 56% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
The Australian broke her opponent 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. Smith conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| Q1 Bolkvadze |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 121-108 | 121-108 | |
| Total points | 229 | 229 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 15 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 69/107 | 69/107 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 40/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 14/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 11 | 11 | |
| Converted | 11/25 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 9/16 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Ma |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 76-75 | 76-75 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/82 | 51/82 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
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