Daria Kasatkina and Alana Smith will play each other in the qualifications of the Mubadala DC Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:30 pm on JOHN HARRIS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Kasatkina is the pick to win this match.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.069
Alana Smith -> 6.55
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Alana Smith
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Alana Smith since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
19 - 14win/loss
87
8
LLLLLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 20-20 | 7-10 | 11-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Kasatkina got to the qualifications after beating Mariam Bolkvadze 6-7(3) 6-4 6-0.
In the qualifications against Bolkvadze, Darya recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-4 6-0). During the match, Kasatkina scored 121 points vs Bolkvadze’s 108. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina scored 3 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 15 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 7 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 64% of her first serves in, winning 58% (40/69) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. Kasatkina broke Bolkvadze 11 times after converting 44% of her break points (11/25).
Kasatkina has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (300-205). 5-5 on hard in 2026. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has a composed 150-121 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the La Bisbal D’Emporda where she defeated Tamara Korpatsch in the final 2-6 6-3 7-5.
Kasatkina has a compiled 18-14 win-loss record in 2026, 5-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See her history.
Alana Smith
17 - 21win/loss
488
291
WWLWLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25-24 | 15-14 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 23-29 | 13-20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-29 | 16-15 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-23 | 21-14 | 5-4 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 464, the American reached the qualifications after beating Lea Ma 6-4 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Alana had a good straight sets win against Ma (6-4 7-65). During the match Smith scored 76 points vs Ma’s 75. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Smith made 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alana Smith was extremely effective on serve to win 71% (36/51) of her 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Ma twice.
Smith has a composed 17-20 win-loss record in 2026, 7-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Washington
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2025. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 |
| Pts | 121-108 | 76-75 |
| Total Points | 229 | 151 |
| Winners | 40 | 36 |
| %Winners | 33% | 47% |
Both Kasatkina and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Daria Kasatkina conceded 1 set while Alana Smith hasn’t lost a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Smith (3 vs 2). Therefore, Kasatkina played 6 games more than Smith. Darya scored 40 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Smith struck 36 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 69/107 | 51/82 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 36/51 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 17/31 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 55% |
Kasatkina bagged 3 aces . Smith scored 2 aces . Kasatkina won 58% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 2 |
| Converted | 11/25 | 2/2 |
| % Converted | 44% | 100% |
| Conceded | 16 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 56% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
The Australian broke her opponent 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Darya lost her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Smith broke her opponent twice with a 100% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| Q1 Bolkvadze |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-73 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 121-108 | 121-108 | |
| Total points | 229 | 229 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 15 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 69/107 | 69/107 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 40/69 | 40/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 14/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 11 | 11 | |
| Converted | 11/25 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 9/16 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Ma |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 76-75 | 76-75 | |
| Total points | 151 | 151 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/82 | 51/82 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 36/51 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/2 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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