Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley will fight against each other in the final of the Bloomfield Hills Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.44
Jacob Fearnley -> 2.55
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Jacob Fearnley
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Jacob Fearnley face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fearnley (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Fearnley won 3-6 4-6 6-2 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in June 2026.
Highlights Jacob Fearnley vs Alex Michelsen – Wimbledon 30-June-2026
Alex Michelsen
26 - 16win/loss
34
30
LWWWWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-20 | 25-10 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Alex got to the final after defeating Aidan Mayo 6-3 6-7(4) 7-6(5), Lloyd Harris 6-3 6-3, Mark Lajal 6-3 6-4 and Dhakshineswar Suresh 6-2 6-7(5) 6-2.
In the semifinal, Alex defeated Suresh (6-2 6-75 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 96 points vs Suresh’s 77. Alex was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen made 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alex Michelsen was very effective on serve to win 84% (43/51) of his 1st serve and 59% (20/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Suresh 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Bloomfield Hills Challenger - Alex Michelsen's projected path
Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 62% of his matches (183-114). 15-6 on hard in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has an overall99-54 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Alex’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Bloomfield Hills Challenger.
Michelsen has an aggregate 25-16 win-loss record in 2026, 15-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bloomfield Hills Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Jacob Fearnley
22 - 18win/loss
94
49
LWLWWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29-23 | 15-14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 11-4 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 33-27 | 11-10 | 10-6 | 9-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, the Brit reached the final after defeating Remy Bertola 6-4 6-4, Tristan Boyer 6-4 6-4, Jeff Wolf 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3 and Michael Zheng 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Jacob had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-4). During the match Fearnley scored 69 points vs Zheng’s 54. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Fearnley recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jacob Fearnley was very effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Fearnley broke Zheng twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jacob has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Bloomfield Hills Challenger - Jacob Fearnley's projected path
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Newport Challenger where he beat Adam Walton in the final 5-7 7-6(8) 6-4.
Jacob has a compiled 22-17 win-loss record in 2026, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 91 |
| Pts | 343-275 | 307-261 |
| Total Points | 618 | 568 |
| Winners | 129 | 131 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Both Michelsen and Fearnley played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen dropped 2 sets, while Jacob Fearnley surrendered 1 set. Michelsen has played 1 set more than Fearnley (10 vs 9). Therefore, Michelsen played 10 games more than Fearnley. Michelsen scored 129 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Fearnley recorded 131 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 163/295 | 168/288 |
| %1st in | 55% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 129/163 | 131/168 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 85/132 | 57/120 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 48% |
Michelsen fired 20 aces (5 per match). Fearnley scored 24 aces (6 per match). Michelsen won 79% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Fearnley won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 14 |
| Converted | 13/27 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 48% | 54% |
| Conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Saved | 9 | 9 |
| % Saved | 75% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 |
The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Fearnley broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Fearnley conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | ||||||
| R1 Mayo |
R2 Lloyd |
1/4 Lajal |
1/2 Suresh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-74 7-65 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-75 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 18 | 19 | 29 | 101 | |
| pts | 114-109 | 63-40 | 70-49 | 96-77 | 343-275 | |
| Total points | 223 | 103 | 119 | 173 | 618 | |
| Winners | 39 | 20 | 27 | 43 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 32% | 39% | 45% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 56/113 | 24/47 | 32/50 | 51/85 | 163/295 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 51% | 64% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 20/24 | 27/32 | 43/51 | 129/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 83% | 84% | 84% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 36/57 | 15/23 | 14/18 | 20/34 | 85/132 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 65% | 78% | 59% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 4/7 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 40% | 57% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/1 | 2/2 | 4/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Fearnley | ||||||
| R1 Bertola |
R2 Boyer |
1/4 Wolf |
1/2 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 32 | 19 | 91 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 73-59 | 98-91 | 69-54 | 307-261 | |
| Total points | 124 | 132 | 189 | 123 | 568 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | 40 | 29 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 41% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 25 | |
| 1st in | 42/71 | 38/58 | 54/102 | 34/57 | 168/288 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 53% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 31/38 | 40/54 | 29/34 | 131/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 82% | 74% | 85% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/29 | 10/20 | 20/48 | 14/23 | 57/120 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 42% | 61% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/8 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 38% | 71% | 33% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 6/11 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 55% | – | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
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WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Bloomfield Hills Challenger
- Trey Hilderbrand/James TracyHilderbrand/James Tracy – Pruchya Isarow/Niki Kaliyanda PoonachaIsarow/Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha (6-3 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
