H2H, prediction of Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Damir Dzumhur in Umag with odds, preview, pick | 18th July 2026

PREVIEW. Umag. Merida Aguilar and Dzumhur will fight against each other in the final of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 18th of July

Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Damir Dzumhur

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Damir Dzumhur will clash against each other in the final of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.42
Damir Dzumhur -> 2.85

 

 

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Damir Dzumhur

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Damir Dzumhur since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniel Merida Aguilar

34 - 16win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
21-8
Grass
1-2
Rank
41
High
39
LWWLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 43-20 20-8 22-9 0-1 1-2 0-0
2025 50-25 15-5 35-16 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 57-33 17-9 40-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 37-31 16-13 20-17 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-26 8-9 21-16 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 82 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the final after defeating Ziga Sesko 6-4 6-1, Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-5 6-4, Titouan Droguet 6-1 6-3 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-4 6-2). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 65 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 46. Merida Aguilar was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Daniel Merida Aguilar was exceptionally effective on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Daniel broke Andres Burruchaga 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

ATP Umag - Daniel Merida Aguilar's projected path

Projected draw

Merida Aguilar has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 60% of his matches (220-148). 21-8 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Merida Aguilar has an overall149-93 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Francesco Maestrelli in the final 6-2 6-4.

Merida Aguilar has a composed 34-16 win-loss record in 2026, 21-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Umag

Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.

Merida Aguilar
Umag
Merida Aguilar's Record

Damir Dzumhur

Damir Dzumhur
Damir Dzumhur

17 - 23win/loss

Hard
2-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
13-14
Grass
2-2
Rank
105
High
23
LLWLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 18-27 3-9 13-16 0-0 2-2 0-0
2025 38-34 9-11 21-16 8-4 0-3 0-0
2024 47-30 11-13 28-7 6-7 2-3 0-0
2023 41-34 15-5 18-18 8-9 0-1 0-1
2022 34-28 5-5 19-12 10-11 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 108, the Bosnian got to the final after beating Henrique Rocha 6-2 6-1, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-6(2) 6-1, Matteo Arnaldi 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 7-6(4) and Alex Molcan 3-6 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal against Molcan, The Bosnian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Dzumhur scored 99 points vs Molcan’s 92. The Bosnian was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Dzumhur fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Damir Dzumhur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 52% of his first serves in, winning 68% (30/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. Damir broke Molcan 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dzumhur has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

ATP Umag - Damir Dzumhur's projected path

Projected draw

The Bosnian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Umag.

Damir has an aggregate 17-23 win-loss record in 2026, 13-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Umag

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2025. See his history.

Dzumhur
Umag
Dzumhur's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Merida Aguilar
D.Dzumhur
5h:02
5h:02
Time on court​
!
9h:22
9h:22
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
!
2h:44
2h:44
4
4
Match played
4
4
73
73
Games Played​
102
102
8
8
Set played​​
10
10
245
245
Total points​
364
364
61.3
61.3
Avg point​
91
91
104
104
Winners
138
138
26
26
Avg Winners​
34.5
34.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
8
8
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
2
2
5
5
Double Faults
4
4
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
104/132
104/132
1st won total​
138/202
138/202
!
79%
79%
1st won %
68%
68%
40/60
40/60
2nd won total​
66/120
66/120
!
67%
67%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
15/28
15/28
BP won
19/40
19/40
3.8/7
3.8/7
Avg BP won
4.8/10
4.8/10
!
54%
54%
Won
48%
48%
6
6
Conceded
27
27
1.5
1.5
Avg Conceded
6.8
6.8
2
2
Broken
11
11
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
4
4
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Merida Aguilar Dzumhur
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 8 10
Tot Games 73 102
Pts 245-167 364-316
Total Points 412 680
Winners 104 138
%Winners 42% 38%

Both Merida Aguilar and Dzumhur played 4 matches. At the moment, Damir Dzumhur dropped 2 sets while Daniel Merida Aguilar hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 2 set(s) less than Dzumhur (8 vs 10). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 29 games less than Dzumhur. Daniel scored 104 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Dzumhur blasted 138 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Merida Aguilar Dzumhur
Aces 6 8
Avg per match 1.5 2
1st in 132/192 202/322
%1st in 69% 63%
1st pts 104/132 138/202
%1st pts 79% 68%
2nd pts 40/60 66/120
%2nd pts 67% 55%

Merida Aguilar fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). Dzumhur scored 8 aces (2 per match). Merida Aguilar won 79% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Dzumhur won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Merida Aguilar Dzumhur
Won 15 19
Converted 15/28 19/40
% Converted 54% 48%
Conceded 6 27
Saved 4 16
% Saved 67% 59%
Times Broken 2 11

The Spaniard broke his opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Daniel dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Bosnian broke his opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. Damir conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
R1
Sesko
R2
Etcheverry
1/4
Droguet
1/2
Andres Burruchaga
Total
Score 6-4 6-1 7-5 6-4 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 17 22 16 18 73
pts 55-35 69-53 56-33 65-46 245-167
Total points 90 122 89 111 412
Winners 24 31 24 25 104
%Winners 44% 45% 43% 38% 42%
SERVE
Aces 1 4 1 0 6
Double Faults 2 0 2 1 5
1st in 28/44 41/57 28/42 35/49 132/192
% 1st in 64% 72% 67% 71% 69%
1st pts 24/28 31/41 24/28 25/35 104/132
% 1st pts 86% 76% 86% 71% 79%
2nd pts 9/16 12/16 9/14 10/14 40/60
% 2nd pts 56% 75% 64% 71% 67%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 4 15
Converted 4/5 3/7 4/7 4/9 15/28
Converted % 80% 43% 57% 44% 54%
Conceded 1 1 0 4 6
Saved 1/1 0/1 0/0 3/4 4
Saved % 100% 0% 75% 44%
Times Broken 0 1 0 1 2
Dzumhur
R1
Rocha
R2
Carlos Prado Angelo
1/4
Arnaldi
1/2
Molcan
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-62 6-1 7-65 6-74 7-64 3-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 15 20 39 28 102
pts 63-39 72-56 130-129 99-92 364-316
Total points 102 128 259 191 680
Winners 20 27 61 30 138
%Winners 32% 38% 47% 30% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 1 2 5 8
Double Faults 0 1 1 2 4
1st in 31/48 44/68 83/122 44/84 202/322
% 1st in 65% 65% 68% 52% 63%
1st pts 20/31 27/44 61/83 30/44 138/202
% 1st pts 65% 61% 73% 68% 68%
2nd pts 10/17 13/24 19/39 24/40 66/120
% 2nd pts 59% 54% 49% 60% 55%
Breaks
Won 6 6 3 4 19
Converted 6/10 6/7 3/10 4/13 19/40
Converted % 60% 86% 30% 31% 48%
Conceded 4 6 11 6 27
Saved 2/4 3/6 8/11 3/6 16
Saved % 50% 50% 73% 50% 56%
Times Broken 2 3 3 3 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Merida Aguilar
WWWWWWWWWW
Dzumhur
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
43 - 20
18 - 27
20-8
Hard
3-9
22-9
Clay
13-16
1-2
Grass
2-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw