Matteo Arnaldi and Damir Dzumhur will clash against each other in the quarter of the Plava Laguna Croatia Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on GORAN IVANISEVIC STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.49
Damir Dzumhur -> 2.61
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Damir Dzumhur
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Damir Dzumhur square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Arnaldi won 6-3 6-4 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in 2025.
Matteo Arnaldi
17 - 11win/loss
37
30
LLLWLLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18-16 | 2-7 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Federico Agustin Gomez 6-3 5-7 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Arnaldi defeated Agustin Gomez (6-3 5-7 6-3). During the match, Arnaldi scored 98 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 83. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 49% of his first serves in, winning 88% (38/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (21/45) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Agustin Gomez 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
ATP Umag - Matteo Arnaldi's projected path
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 60% of his matches (256-171). 14-6 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Arnaldi has a composed146-76 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Cagliari Challenger where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-4 6-4.
Arnaldi has a compiled 17-11 win-loss record in 2026, 14-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
Damir Dzumhur
15 - 23win/loss
105
23
LLWLLWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 18-27 | 3-9 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 38-34 | 9-11 | 21-16 | 8-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-30 | 11-13 | 28-7 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-34 | 15-5 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 5-5 | 19-12 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 108, Damir got to the quarter after beating Henrique Rocha 6-2 6-1 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-6(2) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Damir had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (7-62 6-1). During the match Dzumhur scored 72 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 56. Damir was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Dzumhur scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Damir Dzumhur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 65% of his first serves in, winning 61% (27/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Damir broke Carlos Prado Angelo 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Damir hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
ATP Umag - Damir Dzumhur's projected path
Damir has a composed 15-23 win-loss record in 2026, 11-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Umag
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 35 |
| Pts | 98-83 | 135-95 |
| Total Points | 181 | 230 |
| Winners | 38 | 47 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Arnaldi played 1 match while Dzumhur competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Arnaldi conceded 1 set while Damir Dzumhur hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Arnaldi has played 1 set(s) less than Dzumhur (3 vs 4). Therefore, Arnaldi played 5 games less than Dzumhur. Arnaldi scored 38 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Dzumhur managed to score 47 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 43/88 | 75/116 |
| %1st in | 49% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 38/43 | 47/75 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 21/45 | 23/41 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 56% |
Arnaldi made 8 aces . Dzumhur blasted 1 ace (0.5 per match). Arnaldi won 88% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Dzumhur won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/11 | 12/17 |
| % Converted | 36% | 71% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 4 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 |
Matteo broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Arnaldi dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Dzumhur broke his opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. Dzumhur conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||
| R2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 98-83 | 98-83 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/88 | 43/88 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 38/43 | 38/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/45 | 21/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Dzumhur | ||||
| R1 Rocha |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 35 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 72-56 | 135-95 | |
| Total points | 102 | 128 | 230 | |
| Winners | 20 | 27 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 38% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 31/48 | 44/68 | 75/116 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 20/31 | 27/44 | 47/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 61% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 13/24 | 23/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 54% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/7 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 86% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Umag
- Adam Pavlasek/Patrik RiklPavlasek/Patrik Rikl – Ji Sung Nam/Patrik Niklas-SalminenSung Nam/Patrik Niklas-Salminen (6-3 5-7 10-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Damir DzumhurDzumhur – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
