Nicolas Mejia and Matias Soto will face off in the final of the Bogota Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on COURT KIA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Mejia who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Mejia is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Mejia -> 1.31
Matias Soto -> 3.08
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Nicolas Mejia vs. Matias Soto
This will be the 4th time that Nicolas Mejia and Matias Soto face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Mejia (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Mejia won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the quarter in the San Luis Potosi Challenger back in April 2026.
Nicolas Mejia
28 - 17win/loss
119
115
LWWLLLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35-25 | 16-17 | 13-4 | 1-2 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 41-33 | 21-19 | 18-6 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 165, the Colombian reached the final after defeating Fermin Tenti 6-3 6-2, Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 7-6(2) 6-7(3) 6-2, Hernan Casanova 6-3 6-2 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 5-7 6-1.
In the semifinal, Nicolas defeated Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 5-7 6-1). During the match, Mejia scored 108 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 87. Mejia was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mejia recorded 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Mejia was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 66% (25/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Colombian broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 4 times after converting 24% of his break points (4/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
ATP Bogota Challenger - Nicolas Mejia's projected path
Mejia has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (276-227). 12-4 on clay in 2026. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mejia has a composed 145-91 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the San Luis Potosi Challenger where he overcame James Duckworth in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.
Mejia has an aggregate 28-17 win-loss record in 2026, 12-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bogota Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2025. See his history.
Matias Soto
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 34-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 21-30 | 2-4 | 19-21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-27 | 10-9 | 43-17 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-19 | 4-4 | 14-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 7-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 296, Soto reached the final after defeating Juan Sebastian Osorio 6-2 3-6 6-2, Alan Magadan 7-6(5) 6-3, Lucas Andrade Da Silva 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1 and Lorenzo Claverie 7-5 7-5.
In the semifinal, Soto had a good straight sets win against Claverie (7-5 7-5). During the match Soto scored 71 points vs Claverie’s 62. Matias was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Soto made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matias Soto was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (32/37) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matias broke Claverie twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Soto has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
ATP Bogota Challenger - Matias Soto's projected path
His best result of the year was winning the title the Bucaramanga Challenger where he beat Guido Ivan Justo in the final 6-3 6-3.
Matias has a compiled 29-13 win-loss record in 2026, 29-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bogota Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023, 2024 and 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mejia | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 97 | 101 |
| Pts | 340-274 | 333-291 |
| Total Points | 614 | 624 |
| Winners | 131 | 134 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Mejia and Soto played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Mejia conceded 2 sets, while Matias Soto lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Mejia and Soto have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Mejia played 4 games less than Soto. Nicolas scored 131 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Soto blasted 134 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mejia | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 33 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 174/307 | 172/309 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 131/174 | 134/172 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 76/133 | 87/137 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 64% |
Mejia bagged 33 aces (8.3 per match). Soto blasted 30 aces (7.5 per match). Mejia won 75% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Soto won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mejia | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 11 |
| Converted | 16/37 | 11/20 |
| % Converted | 43% | 55% |
| Conceded | 26 | 15 |
| Saved | 20 | 13 |
| % Saved | 77% | 87% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Nicolas broke his opponents 16 times with a 43% conversion rate. Nicolas lost his serve 6 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Matias broke his opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mejia | ||||||
| R1 Tenti |
R2 Rodriguez |
1/4 Casanova |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 6-73 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 5-7 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 34 | 17 | 29 | 97 | |
| pts | 59-43 | 111-102 | 62-42 | 108-87 | 340-274 | |
| Total points | 102 | 213 | 104 | 195 | 614 | |
| Winners | 23 | 51 | 24 | 33 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% | 39% | 31% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 31/60 | 67/116 | 33/50 | 43/81 | 174/307 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 58% | 66% | 53% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 51/67 | 24/33 | 33/43 | 131/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 73% | 77% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 27/49 | 8/17 | 25/38 | 76/133 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | 47% | 66% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 3/6 | 5/10 | 4/17 | 16/37 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 26 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5/6 | 4/6 | 6/8 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | 67% | 75% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Soto | ||||||
| R1 Sebastian Osorio |
R2 Magadan |
1/4 Andrade Da Silva |
1/2 Claverie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 7-65 6-3 | 6-4 6-75 6-1 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 101 | |
| pts | 87-74 | 77-71 | 98-84 | 71-62 | 333-291 | |
| Total points | 161 | 148 | 182 | 133 | 624 | |
| Winners | 26 | 33 | 43 | 32 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 35/75 | 47/79 | 53/96 | 37/59 | 172/309 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 59% | 55% | 63% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 26/35 | 33/47 | 43/53 | 32/37 | 134/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 81% | 86% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/40 | 19/32 | 27/43 | 16/22 | 87/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 59% | 63% | 73% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 2/7 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 60% | 29% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 5/6 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 83% | 100% | – | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas MejiaMejia – Matias SotoSoto (2-1) – H2H and prediction
