Hugo Dellien and Matej Dodig will square off in the final of the Trieste Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hugo Dellien who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hugo Dellien is the pick to win this match.
Hugo Dellien -> 1.53
Matej Dodig -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Dellien vs. Matej Dodig
This will be the 2nd time that Hugo Dellien and Matej Dodig clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Dellien (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Dellien won 6-1 6-4 in the qualifications in at the French Open back in May 2026.
Hugo Dellien
32 - 16win/loss
129
64
LWLWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 43-24 | 1-4 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 29-25 | 2-4 | 27-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-28 | 1-2 | 44-25 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-27 | 0-3 | 36-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-18 | 0-0 | 32-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, Dellien got to the final after defeating Carlo Alberto Caniato 6-3 7-5, Andrea Guerrieri 6-1 6-2, Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 3-6 6-0 7-5 and Henry Bernet 4-6 7-6(4) 6-4.
In the semifinal against Bernet, Dellien recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-64 6-4). During the match, Dellien scored 109 points vs Bernet’s 93. The Bolivian was very aggressive to blast 65 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dellien scored just 1 ace and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Dellien was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (65/82) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dellien broke Bernet once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hugo has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
ATP Trieste Challenger - Hugo Dellien's projected path
Dellien has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (392-220). 32-14 on clay in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dellien has an overall 380-186 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Juan Carlos Prado Angelo in the final 6-4 7-5.
Hugo has an aggregate 32-16 win-loss record in 2026, 32-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Dellien has never competed in this tournament before.
Matej Dodig
17 - 14win/loss
174
171
LLWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31-20 | 0-4 | 25-11 | 5-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 36-32 | 0-0 | 24-22 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-26 | 14-5 | 30-20 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-16 | 1-2 | 38-12 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 208, Dodig reached the final after beating Sumit Nagal 6-2 6-4, Michele Ribecai 4-6 7-5 6-4, Raul Brancaccio 7-6(5) 6-1 and Henri Squire 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Dodig defeated Squire (6-4 3-6 6-3). During the match Dodig scored 91 points vs Squire’s 82. Dodig was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Dodig scored 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matej Dodig lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Dodig put 57% of his first serves in, winning 85% (40/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. The Croatian broke Squire 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matej has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
ATP Trieste Challenger - Matej Dodig's projected path
Dodig’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Trieste Challenger.
Dodig has a compiled 17-14 win-loss record in 2026, 11-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Trieste Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2025. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dellien | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 96 | 98 |
| Pts | 316-244 | 334-286 |
| Total Points | 560 | 620 |
| Winners | 152 | 145 |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% |
Both Dellien and Dodig played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hugo Dellien surrendered 2 sets, while Matej Dodig dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Dellien and Dodig have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Dellien played 2 games less than Dodig. Hugo scored 152 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Matej recorded 145 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dellien | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 42 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 202/280 | 187/301 |
| %1st in | 72% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 152/202 | 145/187 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 47/78 | 53/114 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 46% |
Dellien struck 12 aces (3 per match). Dodig managed to score 42 aces (10.5 per match). Dellien won 75% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Dodig won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dellien | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 15 |
| Converted | 14/22 | 15/32 |
| % Converted | 64% | 47% |
| Conceded | 17 | 19 |
| Saved | 11 | 12 |
| % Saved | 65% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 7 |
Dellien broke his opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Dellien surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Matej broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Dodig conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dellien | ||||||
| R1 Alberto |
R2 Guerrieri |
1/4 Sanchez-Izquierdo |
1/2 Bernet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-1 6-2 | 3-6 6-0 7-5 | 4-6 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 27 | 33 | 96 | |
| pts | 67-53 | 54-29 | 86-69 | 109-93 | 316-244 | |
| Total points | 120 | 83 | 155 | 202 | 560 | |
| Winners | 29 | 20 | 38 | 65 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% | 44% | 60% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 42/62 | 25/40 | 53/79 | 82/99 | 202/280 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 63% | 67% | 83% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 20/25 | 38/53 | 65/82 | 152/202 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 80% | 72% | 79% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 8/15 | 14/26 | 10/17 | 47/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 53% | 54% | 59% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 5/6 | 5/7 | 1/5 | 14/22 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 83% | 71% | 20% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/1 | 5/8 | 4/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 63% | 80% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Dodig | ||||||
| R1 Nagal |
R2 Ribecai |
1/4 Brancaccio |
1/2 Squire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 32 | 20 | 28 | 98 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 101-91 | 77-61 | 91-82 | 334-286 | |
| Total points | 117 | 192 | 138 | 173 | 620 | |
| Winners | 30 | 46 | 29 | 40 | 145 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | 38% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 42 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 40/59 | 62/84 | 38/75 | 47/83 | 187/301 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 74% | 51% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 46/62 | 29/38 | 40/47 | 145/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 74% | 76% | 85% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/19 | 11/22 | 16/37 | 16/36 | 53/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 50% | 43% | 44% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 4/14 | 5/6 | 3/8 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 29% | 83% | 38% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/7 | 5/7 | 2/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 57% | 71% | 50% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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