H2H, prediction of Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz in Perugia Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 5th June 2026

PREVIEW. Perugia Challenger. Merida Aguilar and Llamas Ruiz will face off in the quarter of the Perugia Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 5th of June

Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Daniel Merida Aguilar and Pablo Llamas Ruiz will clash against each other in the quarter of the Perugia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Llamas Ruiz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Llamas Ruiz is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz -> 1.53
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 2.31

 

 

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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Sure Win Arbitrage

Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Pablo Llamas Ruiz

There is no head to head record between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Pablo Llamas Ruiz since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Daniel Merida Aguilar
Daniel Merida Aguilar

27 - 13win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
15-7
Rank
41
High
39
WLWWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 44-20 20-8 23-9 0-1 1-2 0-0
2025 50-25 15-5 35-16 0-4 0-0 0-0
2024 57-33 17-9 40-23 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 37-31 16-13 20-17 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 29-26 8-9 21-16 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 86 (career-high), the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Gianluca Cadenasso 6-2 ret. and Liam Broady 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Broady (6-4 6-2). During the match, Merida Aguilar scored 63 points vs Broady’s 47. Merida Aguilar was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Merida Aguilar made 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 69% of his first serves in, winning 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Broady 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

ATP Perugia Challenger - Daniel Merida Aguilar's projected path

Projected draw

Merida Aguilar has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (213-145). 15-7 on clay in 2026. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Merida Aguilar has an aggregate143-92 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Francesco Maestrelli in the final 6-2 6-4.

Daniel has a compiled 27-13 win-loss record in 2026, 15-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Perugia Challenger

The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.

Merida Aguilar
Perugia Challenger
Merida Aguilar's Record

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo Llamas Ruiz

29 - 11win/loss

Hard
5-4
I Hard
2-1
Clay
22-6
Rank
140
High
116
LWLWWLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2026 36-21 9-10 23-8 2-1 2-2 0-0
2025 29-21 5-5 23-13 1-2 0-1 0-0
2024 16-16 2-5 10-8 4-3 0-0 0-0
2023 46-21 12-6 33-12 0-2 1-1 0-0
2022 37-23 2-4 35-19 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 122 (career-high), Pablo reached the quarter after defeating Michele Ribecai 6-4 3-6 7-6(2) and Jacopo Vasami 7-6(3) 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Vasami (7-63 6-3). During the match Llamas Ruiz scored 75 points vs Vasami’s 65. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Llamas Ruiz wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Llamas Ruiz lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Llamas Ruiz put 75% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Vasami 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

ATP Perugia Challenger - Pablo Llamas Ruiz's projected path

Projected draw
QF
SF
F

His best result of the year was winning the title the Alicante Challenger where he overcame Pablo Carreno-Busta in the final 6-4 6-2.

The Spaniard has a compiled 29-11 win-loss record in 2026, 22-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger
Llamas Ruiz's Record
Sure Win Arbitrage
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Merida Aguilar
P.Llamas Ruiz
1h:50
1h:50
Time on court​
!
4h:35
4h:35
1h:12
1h:12
Last match​
1h:53
1h:53
2
2
Match played
2
2
26
26
Games Played​
54
54
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
96
96
Total points​
180
180
48
48
Avg point​
90
90
42
42
Winners
85
85
21
21
Avg Winners​
42.5
42.5
44%
44%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
1
1
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
4
4
Double Faults
0
0
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0
0
42/56
42/56
1st won total​
85/122
85/122
!
75%
75%
1st won %
70%
70%
15/28
15/28
2nd won total​
25/45
25/45
54%
54%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
7/13
7/13
BP won
6/11
6/11
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
Avg BP won
3/5.5
3/5.5
!
54%
54%
Won
!
55%
55%
10
10
Conceded
12
12
5
5
Avg Conceded
6
6
2
2
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
8
8
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Merida Aguilar Llamas Ruiz
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 26 54
Pts 96-66 180-161
Total Points 162 341
Winners 42 85
%Winners 44% 47%

Both Merida Aguilar and Llamas Ruiz played 2 matches. At the moment, Pablo Llamas Ruiz dropped 1 set while Daniel Merida Aguilar hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Merida Aguilar has played 1 set(s) less than Llamas Ruiz (4 vs 5). Therefore, Merida Aguilar played 28 games less than Llamas Ruiz. Daniel scored 42 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Llamas Ruiz scored 85 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Merida Aguilar Llamas Ruiz
Aces 5 1
Avg per match 2.5 0.5
1st in 56/84 122/167
%1st in 67% 73%
1st pts 42/56 85/122
%1st pts 75% 70%
2nd pts 15/28 25/45
%2nd pts 54% 56%

Merida Aguilar fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Llamas Ruiz blasted 1 ace (0.5 per match). Merida Aguilar won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Llamas Ruiz won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Merida Aguilar Llamas Ruiz
Won 7 6
Converted 7/13 6/11
% Converted 54% 55%
Conceded 10 12
Saved 8 7
% Saved 80% 58%
Times Broken 2 5

Daniel broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Merida Aguilar lost his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Llamas Ruiz broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.

Merida Aguilar
R1
Cadenasso
R2
Broady
Total
Score 6-2 ret. 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 1 2 3
Tot Games 8 18 26
pts 33-19 63-47 96-66
Total points 52 110 162
Winners 10 32 42
%Winners 30% 51% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 3 5
Double Faults 1 3 4
1st in 15/25 41/59 56/84
% 1st in 60% 69% 67%
1st pts 10/15 32/41 42/56
% 1st pts 67% 78% 75%
2nd pts 7/10 8/18 15/28
% 2nd pts 70% 44% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/7 4/6 7/13
Converted % 43% 67% 54%
Conceded 3 7 10
Saved 2/3 6/7 8
Saved % 67% 86% 77%
Times Broken 1 1 2
Llamas Ruiz
R1
Ribecai
R2
Vasami
Total
Score 6-4 3-6 7-62 7-63 6-3
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 32 22 54
pts 105-96 75-65 180-161
Total points 201 140 341
Winners 46 39 85
%Winners 44% 52% 47%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 68/95 54/72 122/167
% 1st in 72% 75% 73%
1st pts 46/68 39/54 85/122
% 1st pts 68% 72% 70%
2nd pts 17/27 8/18 25/45
% 2nd pts 63% 44% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 3 6
Converted 3/5 3/6 6/11
Converted % 60% 50% 55%
Conceded 9 3 12
Saved 6/9 1/3 7
Saved % 67% 33% 50%
Times Broken 3 2 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Merida Aguilar
WWWWWWWWWW
Llamas Ruiz
WWWWWWWWWW
2026 2025 2024
43 - 20
36 - 21
20-8
Hard
9-10
0-1
I Hard
2-1
22-9
Clay
23-8
1-2
Grass
2-2
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Sure Win Arbitrage

Upcoming matches in the draw