Colton Smith and Michael Mmoh will play each other in the final of the Little Rock Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Michael Mmoh who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Michael Mmoh is the pick to win this match.
Michael Mmoh -> 1.82
Colton Smith -> 1.86
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Colton Smith vs. Michael Mmoh
There is no head to head record between Colton Smith and Michael Mmoh since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Colton Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-21 | 13-13 | 3-6 | 5-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 32-21 | 13-11 | 4-2 | 6-3 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-11 | 22-7 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 5-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 185, the American reached the final after defeating Trevor Svajda 6-2 7-5, Daniel Milavsky 6-3 6-2, Tyler Zink 6-4 7-6(4) and Andre Ilagan 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, Colton had a good straight sets win against Ilagan (6-3 7-5). During the match, Smith scored 84 points vs Ilagan’s 64. Colton was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Smith bagged 11 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Colton Smith lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Smith put 67% of his first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. Smith broke Ilagan 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
ATP Little Rock Challenger - Colton Smith's projected path
Smith has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (86-48). 7-6 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Smith has a compiled46-26 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-5.
The American has an aggregate 15-12 win-loss record in 2026, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Little Rock Challenger
Smith has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Mmoh
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-19 | 26-12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 17-16 | 7-7 | 3-4 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-21 | 27-14 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-29 | 18-12 | 8-7 | 17-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, Mmoh got to the final after beating Hayato Matsuoka 5-7 6-3 6-1, Timo Legout 6-2 6-2, Bernard Tomic 6-3 6-3 and Justin Boulais 1-6 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal against Boulais, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Mmoh scored 81 points vs Boulais’s 72. Mmoh was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Mmoh managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Michael Mmoh lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mmoh put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Mmoh broke Boulais 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mmoh has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
ATP Little Rock Challenger - Michael Mmoh's projected path
His best result of the year was winning the title the Morelos Challenger where he beat Taro Daniel in the final 4-6 6-4 6-3.
The American has a compiled 23-9 win-loss record in 2026, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Smith | Mmoh |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 84 |
| Pts | 297-228 | 301-240 |
| Total Points | 525 | 541 |
| Winners | 114 | 105 |
| %Winners | 38% | 35% |
Both Smith and Mmoh played 4 matches. At the moment, Michael Mmoh surrendered 2 sets while Colton Smith hasn’t lost a set so far. Smith has played 2 set(s) less than Mmoh (8 vs 10). Therefore, Smith played 3 games less than Mmoh. The American scored 114 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 105 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Smith | Mmoh |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 156/252 | 150/257 |
| %1st in | 62% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 114/156 | 105/150 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 50/96 | 56/107 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 52% |
Smith fired 21 aces (5.3 per match). Mmoh managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Smith won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Mmoh won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Smith | Mmoh |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 21 |
| Converted | 17/33 | 21/39 |
| % Converted | 52% | 54% |
| Conceded | 20 | 27 |
| Saved | 13 | 18 |
| % Saved | 65% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
The American broke his opponents 17 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 21 times with a 54% conversion rate. Michael conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Smith | ||||||
| R1 Svajda |
R2 Milavsky |
1/4 Zink |
1/2 Ilagan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-64 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 81 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 63-40 | 80-74 | 84-64 | 297-228 | |
| Total points | 120 | 103 | 154 | 148 | 525 | |
| Winners | 23 | 24 | 35 | 32 | 114 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 38% | 44% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 30/56 | 46/72 | 45/67 | 156/252 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 54% | 64% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 24/30 | 35/46 | 32/45 | 114/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 80% | 76% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 15/26 | 13/26 | 8/22 | 50/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 58% | 50% | 36% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/6 | 2/5 | 6/13 | 17/33 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 67% | 40% | 46% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/7 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 80% | 80% | 57% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Mmoh | ||||||
| R1 Matsuoka |
R2 Legout |
1/4 Tomic |
1/2 Boulais |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 1-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 84 | |
| pts | 91-77 | 63-42 | 66-49 | 81-72 | 301-240 | |
| Total points | 168 | 105 | 115 | 153 | 541 | |
| Winners | 33 | 20 | 24 | 28 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 36% | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 54/89 | 24/45 | 32/55 | 40/68 | 150/257 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 53% | 58% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 33/54 | 20/24 | 24/32 | 28/40 | 105/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 83% | 75% | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 11/21 | 13/23 | 12/28 | 56/107 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 52% | 57% | 43% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/9 | 5/12 | 4/8 | 5/10 | 21/39 | |
| Converted % | 78% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 4/5 | 3/4 | 5/8 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 75% | 63% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWW 
