Stefano Napolitano and Edward Winter will square off in the semifinal of the Centurion 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefano Napolitano who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefano Napolitano is the pick to win this match.
Stefano Napolitano -> 1.47
Edward Winter -> 2.46
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Stefano Napolitano vs. Edward Winter
There is no head to head record between Stefano Napolitano and Edward Winter since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Stefano Napolitano
22 - 9win/loss
279
121
LWLLLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 26-21 | 7-6 | 16-13 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 19-19 | 2-5 | 12-10 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 246, Napolitano reached the semifinal after beating Stefan Vujic 6-2 6-4, Alec Beckley 6-4 6-2 and Philip Henning 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Napolitano had a good straight sets win against Henning (6-3 7-5). During the match, Napolitano scored 68 points vs Henning’s 61. Napolitano was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Napolitano fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefano Napolitano lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Napolitano put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Henning 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Napolitano hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
ATP Centurion 1 Challenger - Stefano Napolitano's projected path
Napolitano has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (234-200). 7-2 on hard in 2026. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Napolitano has an aggregate 58-47 match record in the last years on hard.
Stefano’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Kigali 1 Challenger and the Mexico City Challenger.
Stefano has an overall 22-9 win-loss record in 2026, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Centurion 1 Challenger
Napolitano has never competed in this tournament before.
Edward Winter
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 24-21 | 24-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 34-21 | 32-16 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-19 | 25-17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-20 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 10-10 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 466, Edward reached the semifinal after beating Mukund Sasikumar 6-4 6-0, Yusuke Takahashi 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Robert Strombachs 6-1 7-6(4).
In the quarter, Winter had a good straight sets win against Strombachs (6-1 7-64). During the match Winter scored 81 points vs Strombachs’s 62. Winter was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Winter scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Edward Winter lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Winter put 69% of his first serves in, winning 72% (36/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Strombachs 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Winter has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
ATP Centurion 1 Challenger - Edward Winter's projected path
Winter has an aggregate 6-5 win-loss record in 2026, 6-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Napolitano | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 63 |
| Pts | 214-175 | 240-193 |
| Total Points | 389 | 433 |
| Winners | 73 | 105 |
| %Winners | 34% | 44% |
Both Napolitano and Winter played 3 matches. At the moment, Edward Winter surrendered 1 set while Stefano Napolitano hasn’t lost a set so far. Napolitano has played 1 set(s) less than Winter (6 vs 7). Therefore, Napolitano played 6 games less than Winter. Napolitano scored 73 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Winter bagged 105 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Napolitano | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 105/186 | 146/212 |
| %1st in | 56% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 73/105 | 105/146 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 48/81 | 30/66 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 45% |
Napolitano recorded 10 aces (3.3 per match). Winter struck 6 aces (2 per match). Napolitano won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Winter won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Napolitano | Winter |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 14 |
| Converted | 12/32 | 14/32 |
| % Converted | 38% | 44% |
| Conceded | 21 | 16 |
| Saved | 17 | 10 |
| % Saved | 81% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Stefano broke his opponents 12 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Winter broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Napolitano | |||||
| R1 Vujic |
R2 Beckley |
1/4 Henning |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 21 | 57 | |
| pts | 68-51 | 78-63 | 68-61 | 214-175 | |
| Total points | 119 | 141 | 129 | 389 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | 29 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 28% | 43% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 30/54 | 33/64 | 42/68 | 105/186 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 52% | 62% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 22/33 | 29/42 | 73/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 67% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/24 | 19/31 | 12/26 | 48/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 61% | 46% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 4/13 | 5/11 | 12/32 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 31% | 45% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 8/9 | 6/9 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 89% | 67% | 85% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Winter | |||||
| R1 Kumar Mukund |
R2 Takahashi |
1/4 Strombachs |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 20 | 63 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 96-85 | 81-62 | 240-193 | |
| Total points | 109 | 181 | 143 | 433 | |
| Winners | 29 | 40 | 36 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 42% | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/54 | 57/86 | 50/72 | 146/212 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 66% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 40/57 | 36/50 | 105/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 70% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 12/29 | 11/22 | 30/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 41% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 6/11 | 4/9 | 14/32 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 55% | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/11 | 1/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 64% | 33% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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