Alex De Minaur and Nuno Borges will clash against each other in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.128
Nuno Borges -> 5.95
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Nuno Borges
There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Nuno Borges since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Alex De Minaur
49 - 18win/loss
7
6
LWLLLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Alex got to the 4th round after beating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-4 6-2 and Kamil Majchrzak 6-1 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Majchrzak (6-1 7-5). During the match, De Minaur scored 71 points vs Majchrzak’s 49. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored 4 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of his 1st serve and 71% (10/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Majchrzak 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (408-223). 29-10 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a composed 200-96 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).
The Australian has a compiled 49-18 win-loss record in 2025, 29-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Nuno Borges
31 - 29win/loss
47
30
LWWLLLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Nuno got to the 4th round after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 7-6(5) 7-6(5), Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(7) 6-4 and Juncheng Shang 7-6(5) 4-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Nuno defeated Shang (7-65 4-6 6-3). During the match Borges scored 99 points vs Shang’s 95. Nuno was exceptionally aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Borges bagged 17 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 66% of his first serves in, winning 76% (51/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Shang twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Borges has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Nuno’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Auckland and the Phoenix Challenger.
Nuno has a composed 31-29 win-loss record in 2025, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 81 |
| Pts | 135-93 | 259-253 |
| Total Points | 228 | 512 |
| Winners | 50 | 130 |
| %Winners | 37% | 50% |
De Minaur played 2 matches while Borges competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Nuno Borges dropped 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Minaur has played 3 set(s) less than Borges (4 vs 7). Therefore, De Minaur played 44 games less than Borges. The Australian scored 50 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Borges blasted 130 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 10.7 |
| 1st in | 61/90 | 174/264 |
| %1st in | 68% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 50/61 | 130/174 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 21/29 | 46/90 |
| %2nd pts | 72% | 51% |
De Minaur bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Borges recorded 32 aces (10.7 per match). De Minaur won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
De Minaur broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. De Minaur lost his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Borges broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Nuno conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R2 Ugo Carabelli |
R3 Majchrzak |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 37 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 71-49 | 135-93 | |
| Total points | 108 | 120 | 228 | |
| Winners | 26 | 24 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 31/45 | 61/90 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 24/31 | 50/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 77% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 10/14 | 21/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 71% | 72% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 5/11 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 45% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Borges | |||||
| R1 Van De Zandschulp |
R2 Vukic |
R3 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-65 | 7-67 6-4 | 7-65 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 23 | 32 | 81 | |
| pts | 82-88 | 78-70 | 99-95 | 259-253 | |
| Total points | 170 | 148 | 194 | 512 | |
| Winners | 39 | 40 | 51 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 51% | 52% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 7 | 17 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 55/90 | 52/73 | 67/101 | 174/264 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 71% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 40/52 | 51/67 | 130/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 77% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/35 | 10/21 | 17/34 | 46/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 48% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 2/6 | 2/4 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | 60% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWLWW
LWWLLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Zizou BergsBergs – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 7-5 7-6(8)) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Zizou BergsBergs (3-0) – H2H and prediction
