[UPDATED R2]. Prediction, H2H of Matteo Arnaldi’s draw vs Davidovich Fokina, Medvedev, Norrie, De Minaur, Zverev, Sinner to win the Shanghai

Shanghai draw preview with H2H - Matteo Arnaldi may need to oust Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, Daniil Medvedev, Cameron Norrie, Alex De Minaur, Alexander Zverev, Jannik Sinner to conquer the tournament in the Shanghai Rolex Masters.

Matteo Arnaldi Stats info

Matteo Arnaldi is 6 wins away to conquer the title in Shanghai. Arnaldi has defeated Rei Sakamoto 7-63 6-4 to reach the 2nd round where he will face Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Matteo Arnaldi’s projected draw includinghisplausible opposition in Shanghai Rolex Masters. The Italian has a unfavourable record (3-8) against the likely opponents.

R1 – Rei Sakamoto (188) – 7-63 6-4
R2 – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (20) – H2H 2-1
R3 – Daniil Medvedev (18) – H2H 0-4
or Dalibor Svrcina (91) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Cameron Norrie (33) – H2H 1-0
or Learner Tien (36) – H2H 1-0
1/4 – Alex De Minaur (7) – H2H 0-1
or Karen Khachanov (10) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Alexander Zverev (3) – H2H 0-2
or Lorenzo Musetti (9) – H2H 0-4
Fin – Jannik Sinner (2) – H2H 0-0
or Taylor Fritz (4) – H2H 1-1
Arnaldi
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R2 – Alejandro Davidovich Fokina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Matteo Arnaldi

44 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
14
High
14
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 44-26 22-14 9-6 8-4 5-2 0-0
2024 20-22 13-12 2-5 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 32-28 18-11 9-8 3-6 2-3 0-0
2022 21-26 7-9 11-8 0-6 3-3 0-0
2021 30-25 4-6 16-7 9-10 1-2 0-0
2020 19-13 5-5 5-5 9-3 0-0 0-0
2019 49-28 19-8 27-14 0-3 3-3 0-0
2018 45-25 19-7 23-13 0-1 1-1 2-3

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 36-22 win-loss record in 2025, 21-13 on hard. In the course of the previous 10 years, Davidovich Fokina has a 136-86 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Alejandro won 5 of his last 10 matches.

The Spaniard’s most significant result of this season was getting to the final Delray Beach, Acapulco and Washington.

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters Alejandro capitulated to Tomas Machac in the 2nd round 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

This match would represent the 4th time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

R3 – Daniil Medvedev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Daniil Medvedev

41 - 23win/loss in 2025

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
2019 59-21 34-8 8-5 12-5 5-3 0-0
2018 53-25 27-9 1-5 21-7 4-4 0-0

Daniil Medvedev has a 30-20 record in 2025, 16-11 on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, the Russian has a 263-90 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Medvedev won 5 of his last 10 matches.

Daniil’s best achievement of the current year was getting to the final Halle.

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters the Russian lost to Jannik Sinner in the quarter 6-1 6-4.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Daniil Medvedev

This match would represent the 5th time that Matteo Arnaldi and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Matteo Arnaldi could square off with Dalibor Svrcina. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Dalibor Svrcina.

R4 – Cameron Norrie’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Matteo Arnaldi

39 - 29win/loss in 2025

Rank
27
High
8
LWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 39-29 11-15 14-7 10-4 4-3 0-0
2024 24-21 7-4 8-8 6-5 3-4 0-0
2023 36-25 14-12 18-7 1-4 3-2 0-0
2022 49-26 26-11 11-5 6-7 6-3 0-0
2021 56-25 25-11 16-5 9-7 6-2 0-0
2020 14-15 9-8 1-3 4-4 0-0 0-0
2019 31-28 19-13 7-9 3-3 2-3 0-0
2018 32-31 20-15 7-7 3-5 2-4 0-0

Cameron Norrie has a 31-25 record in 2025, 10-14 on hard. In connection to the previous 13 years, Cameron has a 231-116 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Brit won 4 of his last 10 matches.

The Brit’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal Geneva.

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters Norrie didn’t play in this event.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Cameron Norrie

This would be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Cameron Norrie square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Matteo Arnaldi may square off with Learner Tien. Their H2H is 1-0 for Matteo Arnaldi.

1/4 – Alex De Minaur’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Alex De Minaur

56 - 24win/loss in 2025

Rank
7
High
6
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 56-24 30-11 10-5 13-6 3-2 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0
2020 13-10 6-5 0-2 7-3 0-0 0-0
2019 41-20 25-10 1-4 13-3 2-3 0-0
2018 51-30 24-13 9-9 5-4 13-4 0-0

Alex De Minaur has a 47-18 win-loss record in 2025, 27-10 on hard. In the course of the previous 11 years, Alex has a 198-96 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). De Minaur won 7 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant achievement of this current year was winning the competition in Washington where he defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 5-7 6-1 7-6(3).

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters the Australian didn’t play in this event.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alex De Minaur

This contest would be 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alex De Minaur fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Matteo Arnaldi could take on Karen Khachanov. Their head to head is 1-0 for Matteo Arnaldi.

1/2 – Alexander Zverev’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-0 for Alexander Zverev

57 - 25win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
2
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 57-25 24-9 18-7 9-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0
2020 28-11 12-7 3-1 13-3 0-0 0-0
2019 44-25 20-9 16-8 6-5 2-3 0-0
2018 60-19 25-9 21-4 12-4 2-2 0-0

Alexander Zverev has a 47-20 record in 2025, 23-8 on hard. Talking about the last 13 years, the German has a 225-105 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The German won 5 of his last 10 matches.

His most significant result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he beat Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters Zverev was defeated by David Goffin in the 4th round 6-4 7-5.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexander Zverev

This would be the 3rd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Zverev clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Matteo Arnaldi could fight against Lorenzo Musetti. Their head to head record is 4-0 for Lorenzo Musetti.

Final – Jannik Sinner’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

58 - 6win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0
2019 62-24 12-6 17-8 31-7 2-3 0-0
2018 31-22 13-8 17-12 1-1 0-0 0-1

Jannik Sinner has a 42-5 record in 2025, 23-2 on hard. In the last 8 years, the Italian has a 161-48 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sinner will try to keep a positive momentum since he is on a 5 matches winning streak.

His best achievement of the year was conquering the tournament at the Australian Open where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3, at the Wimbledon where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-4, and in Beijing where he beat Learner Tien in the final 6-2 6-2.

Last year in Shanghai Rolex Masters Jannik conquered the competition after beating Novak Djokovic 7-6(4) 6-3.

H2H Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jannik Sinner

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Jannik Sinner since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Nonetheless, Matteo Arnaldi may compete against Taylor Fritz. Their head to head is 1-1.