[UPDATED R4]. Prediction, H2H of Iga Swiatek’s draw vs Shnaider, Keys, Gauff, Sabalenka to win the Madrid

Madrid draw preview with H2H - Iga Swiatek may need to best Diana Shnaider, Madison Keys, Cori Gauff, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the event in the Mutua Madrid Open.

Iga Swiatek Stats info

Iga Swiatek is 4 wins away to conquer the title in Madrid. Swiatek has defeated Alexandra Eala 4-6 6-4 6-2 and Linda Noskova 6-4 6-2 to reach the 4th round where she will face Diana Shnaider.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Iga Swiatek’s projected draw together withherpresumable opponents in Mutua Madrid Open. The Pole has a winning record (23-9) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Alexandra Eala (72) – 4-6 6-4 6-2
R3 – Linda Noskova (31) – 6-4 6-2
R4 – Diana Shnaider (13) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Madison Keys (5) – H2H 4-2
or Donna Vekic (21) – H2H 4-0
1/2 – Cori Gauff (4) – H2H 11-3
or Mirra Andreeva (7) – H2H 1-2
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 8-4
or Elina Svitolina (17) – H2H 3-1
Swiatek
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R4 – Diana Shnaider’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

17 - 14win/loss in 2025

Rank
12
High
11
LWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-14 7-8 8-5 0-0 2-1 0-0
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2020 2-2 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0

Diana Shnaider has a 11-10 record in 2025, 4-2 on clay. In connection to the last 7 years, the Russian has a 85-30 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Diana surrendered to Anastasia Potapova in the 1st round 7-5 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Diana Shnaider

There is no head to head record between Iga Swiatek and Diana Shnaider since this would be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

1/4 – Madison Keys’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-2 for Iga Swiatek

30 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
5
LWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-8 19-3 9-4 0-0 2-1 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 28-15 16-9 10-3 1-2 1-1 0-0
2018 29-14 16-9 11-4 0-0 2-1 0-0

Madison Keys has a 22-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay. Talking about the last 17 years, the American has a 92-51 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Madison won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the current season was winning the competition in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1, and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Keys was defeated by Iga Swiatek in the semifinal 6-1 6-3.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Madison Keys

This contest would be 7th time that Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Iga Swiatek may compete against Donna Vekic. Their head to head record is 4-0 for Iga Swiatek.

1/2 – Cori Gauff’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 11-3 for Iga Swiatek

31 - 8win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
2
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-8 13-5 18-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-18 31-10 14-5 4-1 5-2 0-0
2023 51-16 40-9 7-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 23-16 10-4 0-1 5-2 0-0
2021 36-16 16-10 16-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 12-8 7-5 2-2 3-1 0-0 0-0
2019 29-15 9-6 7-5 7-3 6-1 0-0
2018 9-4 4-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Cori Gauff has a 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. As for the previous 9 years, Cori has a 65-27 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Cori won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the title in Australia where she beat Iga Swiatek in the final 6-4 6-4.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open Cori surrendered to Madison Keys in the 4th round 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4.

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Cori Gauff

This contest would be 15th time that Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff clash against each other. The head to head is 11-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Yet, Iga Swiatek may face Mirra Andreeva. Their head to head record is 2-1 for Mirra Andreeva.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

40 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-7 23-4 17-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 27-5 record in 2025, 4-1 on clay. As for the previous 10 years, Sabalenka has a 81-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Aryna won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2.

Last year in Mutua Madrid Open the Belarussian surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7).

H2H Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 13th time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay in major tournaments.

On the other hand, Iga Swiatek may take on Elina Svitolina. Their head to head is 3-1 for Iga Swiatek.