Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.36
Anastasia Potapova -> 3.14
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Anastasia Potapova
This will be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Anastasia Potapova face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Keys and Potapova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Potapova won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in Dubai back in 2021.
Madison Keys
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-15 | 24-6 | 9-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Madison will start her run in Indian Wells after she won the title at the Melbourne after beating 6-3 2-6 7-5 Sabalenka in the final.
Madison has a compiled 14-1 win-loss record in 2025, 14-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.
Talking about her overall career, Keys has an overall 399-222 record. She has a positive 243-138 record on hard.
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.
Anastasia Potapova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-16 | 10-11 | 6-3 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 2-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-21 | 11-14 | 7-4 | 7-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 14-14 | 18-7 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 11-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-7(5) 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round against Bouzas Maneiro, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 7-5). During the match Potapova scored 125 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 116. Anastasia was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Potapova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 8 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 46% of her first serves in, winning 64% (36/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (33/65) on the 2nd serve. Anastasia broke Bouzas Maneiro 7 times after converting 33% of her break points (7/21).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Napoca where she overcame Lucia Bronzetti in the final 4-6 6-1 6-2.
Potapova has an aggregate 12-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See her history.
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWLWWW
LWWWLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Lulu SunSun – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Robin MontgomeryMontgomery (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Clara TausonTauson – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (7-63 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Xinyu WangWang – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-72 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Suzan LamensLamens (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thomas FancuttFancutt – Alexandru Vasile ManoleVasile Manole (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Giovanni FonioFonio – Justin ButschButsch (6-74 7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Tomas Lipovsek PuchesLipovsek Puches (6-1 0-6 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bogdan Ionut ApostolIonut Apostol – Calin MandaManda (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert Alcaraz IvorraAlcaraz Ivorra – Nicolae FrunzaFrunza (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander IgoshinIgoshin – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Matvey MininMinin (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Mats RosenkranzRosenkranz (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Caroline DolehideCaroline – Eva LysEva (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mccartney KesslerKessler (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Magdalena FrechFrech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Sofia KeninKenin (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Caty McNallyMcNally – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktoriya TomovaTomova – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Belinda BencicBencic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alycia ParksParks – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Kimberly BirrellBirrell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Madison KeysKeys (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Katie BoulterBoulter (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Caroline DolehideDolehide (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-1) – H2H and prediction
