Sonay Kartal and Clervie Ngounoue will square off in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 am on STADIUM 6. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sonay Kartal who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sonay Kartal is the pick to win this match.
Sonay Kartal -> 1.37
Clervie Ngounoue -> 2.89
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Prediction and head to head Sonay Kartal vs. Clervie Ngounoue
There is no head to head record between Sonay Kartal and Clervie Ngounoue since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Sonay Kartal
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-9 | 30-3 | 0-0 | 15-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-18 | 7-3 | 11-6 | 8-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-12 | 10-3 | 5-1 | 15-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-1 | 5-0 | 10-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Sonay got to the qualifications after beating Marina Stakusic 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Sonay had a good straight sets win against Stakusic (6-2 6-2). During the match, Kartal scored 64 points vs Stakusic’s 42. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kartal scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Sonay Kartal was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kartal broke Stakusic 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Kartal has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 76% of her matches (145-47). 4-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kartal has a compiled58-14 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Kartal has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Sonay has never competed in this tournament before.
Clervie Ngounoue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-4 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-15 | 15-10 | 7-2 | 8-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-11 | 11-10 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-8 | 11-5 | 7-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 259, the American got to the qualifications after beating Rebecca Marino 6-4 7-6(3).
In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Marino (6-4 7-63). During the match Ngounoue scored 89 points vs Marino’s 80. Ngounoue was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Ngounoue managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Clervie Ngounoue lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ngounoue put 57% of her first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Marino 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W50 Birmingham where she overcame Viktoria Hruncakova in the final 4-6 6-2 6-3.
Clervie has a composed 14-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kartal | Ngounoue |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 |
| Pts | 64-42 | 89-80 |
| Total Points | 106 | 169 |
| Winners | 28 | 34 |
| %Winners | 44% | 38% |
Both Kartal and Ngounoue played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kartal and Ngounoue have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Kartal played 7 games less than Ngounoue. The Brit scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Clervie blasted 34 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kartal | Ngounoue |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 48/84 |
| %1st in | 71% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 34/48 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 17/36 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 47% |
Kartal fired 1 ace . Ngounoue also struck 3 aces . Kartal won 76% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ngounoue won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kartal | Ngounoue |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 44% | 29% |
| Conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
The Brit broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Kartal quite strong on her serve as she has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Clervie broke her opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. Clervie conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kartal | |||
| Q1 Stakusic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 64-42 | |
| Total points | 106 | 106 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/52 | 37/52 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/15 | 9/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ngounoue | |||
| Q1 Marino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 89-80 | 89-80 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 48/84 | 48/84 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/36 | 17/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLWLWW
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