Emiliana Arango and Francesca Jones will face off in the 2nd round of the Merida Open Akron for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on AKRON STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesca Jones who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesca Jones is the pick to win this match.
Francesca Jones -> 1.78
Emiliana Arango -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Emiliana Arango vs. Francesca Jones
This will be the 2nd time that Emiliana Arango and Francesca Jones fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arango (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Arango won 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the semifinal in the Cancun back in February 2025.
Emiliana Arango
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-28 | 23-16 | 4-7 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-34 | 7-12 | 14-16 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-27 | 10-8 | 28-13 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-20 | 7-7 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 19-9 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Arango got to the 2nd round after defeating Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2 and Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Lourdes Carle (6-2 6-3). During the match, Arango scored 104 points vs Lourdes Carle’s 80. Arango was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arango was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Emiliana Arango lost the serve 8 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arango put 71% of her first serves in, winning 58% (38/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (9/27) on the 2nd serve. Arango broke Lourdes Carle 11 times after converting 92% of her break points (11/12).
Arango has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (218-160). 9-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Arango has a composed 71-56 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Cancun where she overcame Carson Branstine in the final 6-2 6-1.
Emiliana has an overall 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Francesca Jones
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45-18 | 15-8 | 26-5 | 2-1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-18 | 3-3 | 28-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-11 | 1-2 | 18-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-21 | 6-5 | 24-12 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 136 (career-high), Francesca reached the 2nd round after beating Ana Sofia Sanchez 6-0 6-1, Leonie Kung 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Mayar Sherif 6-4 3-0 ret..
In the 1st round against Sherif, Jones had a free pass after Sherif retired on a 6-4 3-0 . scoreline.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Cancun.
Francesca has a composed 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arango | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 52 |
| Pts | 283-215 | 193-128 |
| Total Points | 498 | 321 |
| Winners | 102 | 85 |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% |
Both Arango and Jones played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Emiliana Arango conceded 1 set, while Francesca Jones surrendered 1 set. Arango has played 1 set(s) less than Jones (7 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Arango played 13 games more than Jones. Emiliana scored 102 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Francesca fired 85 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arango | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 173/241 | 122/173 |
| %1st in | 72% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 102/173 | 85/122 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 27/68 | 27/51 |
| %2nd pts | 40% | 53% |
Arango didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Jones struck 3 aces (1 per match). Arango won 59% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Jones won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arango | Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 28 | 14 |
| Converted | 28/36 | 14/22 |
| % Converted | 78% | 64% |
| Conceded | 27 | 20 |
| Saved | 8 | 15 |
| % Saved | 30% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 19 | 5 |
The Colombian broke her opponents 28 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Colombian lost her serve 19 times and she saved 30% of the break points that she conceded. Jones broke her opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Jones conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Arango | |||||
| Q1 Kawa |
Q3 Lourdes |
R1 Lourdes |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 | 17 | 65 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 104-80 | 104-80 | 283-215 | |
| Total points | 130 | 184 | 184 | 498 | |
| Winners | 26 | 38 | 38 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 37% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 43/57 | 65/92 | 65/92 | 173/241 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 71% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 26/43 | 38/65 | 38/65 | 102/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 58% | 58% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/27 | 9/27 | 27/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 11 | 11 | 28 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 11/12 | 11/12 | 28/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 92% | 92% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 11 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/11 | 3/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 27% | 27% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | |
| Jones | |||||
| Q1 Sofia Sanchez |
Q3 Kung |
R1 Sherif |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 26 | 13 | 52 | |
| pts | 61-31 | 86-67 | 46-30 | 193-128 | |
| Total points | 92 | 153 | 76 | 321 | |
| Winners | 31 | 33 | 21 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 38% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 46/56 | 48/74 | 28/43 | 122/173 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 65% | 65% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | 33/48 | 21/28 | 85/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 69% | 75% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 14/26 | 8/15 | 27/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/9 | 3/6 | 14/22 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 67% | 50% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 6 | 20 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 2/6 | 5/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 83% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWLWL
LLLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Merida
- Daria SavilleSaville – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (4-6 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Andrea CollariniCollarini (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico GaioGaio – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (7-63 4-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi (6-3 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rogerio Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Tung-Lin WuWu (7-61 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-64 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (1-6 7-66 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Santiago GiraldoGiraldo – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Luca VanniVanni (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Federico CoriaCoria (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Pedja KrstinKrstin (6-3 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrej MartinMartin – Jeroen VannesteVanneste (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francesco FortiForti – Gianluca MagerMager (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan SatralSatral – Emilio GomezGomez (2-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Petra MarticMartic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emiliana ArangoArango – Francesca JonesJones (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
