
Carlos Alcaraz and Luca Nardi will face off in the 2nd round of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.027
Luca Nardi -> 12.5
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luca Nardi
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 48-6 | 10-4 | 22-1 | 5-0 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz got to the 2nd round after beating Marin Cilic 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Cilic (6-4 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 73 points vs Cilic’s 61. Carlos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Cilic 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (297-79). 5-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed102-28 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2.
The Spaniard has a composed 10-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Alcaraz has never competed in this tournament before.
Luca Nardi
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 23-22 | 9-8 | 8-9 | 6-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85, Nardi got to the 2nd round after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-4 6-4, Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 6-4 and Zhizhen Zhang 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Luca had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-4 6-3). During the match Nardi scored 62 points vs Zhang’s 50. Luca was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about serving, Nardi fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Luca Nardi was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luca broke Zhang 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Luca’s best result of the year was getting to the final in the Koblenz Challenger.
Nardi has a composed 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Alcaraz | Nardi |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 3 |
Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
Tot Games | 20 | 59 |
Pts | 73-61 | 202-171 |
Total Points | 134 | 373 |
Winners | 26 | 84 |
%Winners | 36% | 42% |
Alcaraz played 1 match while Nardi competed in 3 matches. Nardi started his run from the qualifications while Alcaraz had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Alcaraz has played 4 set(s) less than Nardi (2 vs 6). Therefore, Alcaraz played 39 games less than Nardi. The Spaniard scored 26 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 84 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Alcaraz | Nardi |
---|---|---|
Aces | 4 | 12 |
Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
1st in | 37/59 | 120/185 |
%1st in | 63% | 65% |
1st pts | 26/37 | 84/120 |
%1st pts | 70% | 70% |
2nd pts | 15/22 | 37/65 |
%2nd pts | 68% | 57% |
Alcaraz made 4 aces . Nardi scored 12 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Alcaraz | Nardi |
---|---|---|
Won | 3 | 10 |
Converted | 3/10 | 10/23 |
% Converted | 30% | 43% |
Conceded | 6 | 10 |
Saved | 5 | 6 |
% Saved | 83% | 60% |
Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Alcaraz broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Nardi broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. Luca conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
Alcaraz | |||
R1 Cilic |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
pts | 73-61 | 73-61 | |
Total points | 134 | 134 | |
Winners | 26 | 26 | |
%Winners | 36% | 36% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 4 | 4 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 37/59 | 37/59 | |
% 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
1st pts | 26/37 | 26/37 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 15/22 | 15/22 | |
% 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 3 | 3 | |
Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Nardi | |||||
Q1 Uchiyama |
Q3 Kukushkin |
R1 Zhang |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 19 | 59 | |
pts | 67-54 | 73-67 | 62-50 | 202-171 | |
Total points | 121 | 140 | 112 | 373 | |
Winners | 29 | 26 | 29 | 84 | |
%Winners | 43% | 36% | 47% | 42% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
1st in | 38/57 | 44/69 | 38/59 | 120/185 | |
% 1st in | 67% | 64% | 64% | 65% | |
1st pts | 29/38 | 26/44 | 29/38 | 84/120 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 59% | 76% | 70% | |
2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/25 | 11/21 | 37/65 | |
% 2nd pts | 68% | 52% | 52% | 57% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
Converted | 2/7 | 5/11 | 3/5 | 10/23 | |
Converted % | 29% | 45% | 60% | 43% | |
Conceded | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
Saved | 0/0 | 5/8 | 1/2 | 6 | |
Saved % | – | 63% | 50% | 113% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Doha
- Zizou BergsBergs – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-65 7-67) – See score progression
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Matthew Ebden/Joran VliegenEbden/Joran Vliegen (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Aziz DougazDougaz (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Tallon Griekspoor/Adam PavlasekGriekspoor/Adam Pavlasek (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Hady HabibHabib (7-67 7-63) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Marin CilicCilic (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (7-6(5) 7-6(7)) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Quentin HalysHalys (4-6 6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (4-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alexander BublikBublik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Jack DraperDraper (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Nuno BorgesBorges (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction