[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Aryna Sabalenka’s draw vs Badosa, Swiatek to win the Australian Open

Australian Open draw preview with H2H - Aryna Sabalenka may need to oust Paula Badosa, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the Australian Open.

Aryna Sabalenka Stats info

Aryna Sabalenka is 2 wins away to conquer the title at the Australian Open. Aryna has defeated Sloane Stephens 6-3 6-2, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 7-5, Clara Tauson 7-65 6-4, Mirra Andreeva 6-1 6-2 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-2 2-6 6-3 to reach the semifinal where she will face Paula Badosa.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Aryna Sabalenka’s projected draw alongsideherlikely opposition at the Australian Open. Sabalenka has a weak record (9-10) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Sloane Stephens (81) – 6-3 6-2
R2 – Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (54) – 6-3 7-5
R3 – Clara Tauson (42) – 7-65 6-4
R4 – Mirra Andreeva (15) – 6-1 6-2
1/4 – Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (32) – 6-2 2-6 6-3
1/2 – Paula Badosa (12) – H2H 5-2
Fin – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 4-8
or Madison Keys (14) – H2H 4-1
Sabalenka
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Draw

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1/2 – Paula Badosa’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

18 - 13win/loss in 2025

Rank
25
High
2
LWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-13 13-8 3-2 0-1 2-2 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 57-33 17-13 17-12 7-4 7-3 9-1
2018 39-21 8-3 19-11 11-4 1-3 0-0

Paula Badosa has a 6-2 record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the last 13 years, Badosa has a 156-82 record on hard (Click here to see full career record).

Last year at the Australian Open Badosa lost to Amanda Anisimova in the 3rd round 7-5 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Paula Badosa

This match would represent the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but Badosa has a winning record of 2-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 8-4 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 9-1 win-loss record in 2025, she played all matches on hard. In connection to the last 10 years, Swiatek has a 171-43 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Pole will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Swiatek’s best result of this current season was reaching the final Australia.

Last year at the Australian Open the Pole lost to Linda Noskova in the 3rd round 3-6 6-3 6-4.

H2H Aryna Sabalenka vs. Iga Swiatek

This match would represent the 13th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek square off. The head to head is 8-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 3-3 on hard in major tournaments.

Possibly, Aryna Sabalenka could face Madison Keys. Their head to head record is 4-1 for Aryna Sabalenka.