Sebastian Korda and Thanasi Kokkinakis will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.67
Thanasi Kokkinakis -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Thanasi Kokkinakis
This will be the 4th time that Sebastian Korda and Thanasi Kokkinakis clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Korda (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Korda won 6-7(1) 7-5 3-2 ret. in the 3rd round in Washington back in 2024.
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Sebastian reached the quarter after defeating Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-3 6-3). During the match, Korda scored 74 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 58. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Korda bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 5 break points. Furthermore, Korda put 62% of his first serves in, winning 86% (37/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (9/26) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Davidovich Fokina 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Korda has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (243-156). 1-0 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Korda has a compiled 100-65 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Sebastian has an aggregate 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Thanasi Kokkinakis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-21 | 19-12 | 11-6 | 3-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-26 | 31-18 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 19-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-21 | 15-11 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 77, Kokkinakis got to the quarter after defeating Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 7-5 4-6 7-6(4).
In the 2nd round, Thanasi defeated Etcheverry (7-5 4-6 7-64).During the match Kokkinakis scored less points (6) than Etcheverry. In fact, the world no. 22 won 106 points vs Etcheverry’s. That means that Kokkinakis was more focused during the important points. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 61 winners.
About the serving games, Kokkinakis overpowered his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Thanasi Kokkinakis was very efficient on serve to win 74% (61/82) of his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kokkinakis broke Etcheverry once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kokkinakis has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The Australian has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Korda | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 62 |
| Pts | 74-58 | 199-196 |
| Total Points | 132 | 395 |
| Winners | 37 | 105 |
| %Winners | 50% | 53% |
Korda played 1 match while Kokkinakis competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Thanasi Kokkinakis conceded 2 sets while Sebastian Korda hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Korda has played 4 set(s) less than Kokkinakis (2 vs 6). Therefore, Korda played 44 games less than Kokkinakis. Sebastian scored 37 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Thanasi managed to score 105 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Korda | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 19 |
| 1st in | 43/69 | 142/203 |
| %1st in | 62% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 105/142 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 32/61 |
| %2nd pts | 35% | 52% |
Korda scored 8 aces . Kokkinakis fired 38 aces (19 per match). Korda won 86% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Kokkinakis won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Korda | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/17 |
| % Converted | 43% | 24% |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Sebastian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sebastian had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 5 break points. The Australian broke his opponents 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Korda | |||
| R2 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 74-58 | 74-58 | |
| Total points | 132 | 132 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/69 | 43/69 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 37/43 | 37/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 9/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 35% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kokkinakis | ||||
| R1 Nishioka |
R2 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 4-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 35 | 62 | |
| pts | 93-84 | 106-112 | 199-196 | |
| Total points | 177 | 218 | 395 | |
| Winners | 44 | 61 | 105 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 58% | 53% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 15 | 23 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 60/88 | 82/115 | 142/203 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 61/82 | 105/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 18/33 | 32/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 1/5 | 4/17 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 20% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 83% | 143% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
W
WW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (4-1) – H2H and prediction
