Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marcos Giron will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on SHOW COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.42
Marcos Giron -> 2.86
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 6th time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marcos Giron clash against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but Giron leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2024.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 50-25 | 24-10 | 3-6 | 17-5 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, the Canadian got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Arthur Cazaux 1-6 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Cazaux, The Canadian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 7-5).During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored less points (1) than Cazaux. In fact, the world no. 29 won 91 points vs Cazaux’s. That means that Auger-Aliassime was more focused during the important points. Auger-Aliassime was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime managed to score 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 65% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Cazaux twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Auger-Aliassime has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (330-201). 2-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate 105-83 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Felix has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 12-14 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Marcos got to the quarter after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-2 3-6 6-3 and Denis Shapovalov 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shapovalov (7-5 6-2). During the match Giron scored 67 points vs Shapovalov’s 46. Marcos was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Talking about serving, Giron made 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Marcos Giron was exceptionally effective on serve to win 73% (19/26) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Marcos broke Shapovalov 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Giron has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Marcos has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 46 |
| Pts | 91-92 | 155-119 |
| Total Points | 183 | 274 |
| Winners | 39 | 48 |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% |
Auger-Aliassime played 1 match while Giron competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded 1 set, while Marcos Giron dropped 1 set. Auger-Aliassime has played 2 set(s) less than Giron (3 vs 5). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 17 games less than Giron. Felix scored 39 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 48 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 3 |
| 1st in | 54/83 | 67/122 |
| %1st in | 65% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 48/67 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 38/55 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 69% |
Auger-Aliassime fired 12 aces . Giron recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 72% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 9 |
| Converted | 2/9 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 22% | 43% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Canadian broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Marcos broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Giron conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||
| R2 Cazaux |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 91-92 | 91-92 | |
| Total points | 183 | 183 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/83 | 54/83 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 39/54 | 39/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 14/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Giron | ||||
| R1 Vukic |
R2 Shapovalov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 46 | |
| pts | 88-73 | 67-46 | 155-119 | |
| Total points | 161 | 113 | 274 | |
| Winners | 29 | 19 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 28% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 41/72 | 26/50 | 67/122 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 52% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 19/26 | 48/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/31 | 16/24 | 38/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/13 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWWWWW
LWWLLLWLLL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Rinky HijikataHijikata (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Benjamin BonziBonzi (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (4-1) – H2H and prediction
