H2H, prediction of Learner Tien vs Jozef Kovalik at the Australian Open with odds, preview, pick | 9th January 2025

PREVIEW. Melbourne. Tien and Kovalik will face off in the qualifications of the Australian Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 9th of January

Prediction and head to head Learner Tien vs. Jozef Kovalik

Learner Tien and Jozef Kovalik will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 1:00 pm on Court 12. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Learner Tien who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Learner Tien is the pick to win this match.
Learner Tien -> 1.29
Jozef Kovalik -> 3.46

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Learner Tien vs. Jozef Kovalik

There is no head to head record between Learner Tien and Jozef Kovalik since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Learner Tien

Learner Tien
Learner Tien

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
120
High
114
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-1 3-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 63-14 53-8 0-1 10-5 0-0 0-0
2023 30-10 20-10 0-0 10-0 0-0 0-0
2022 12-11 8-5 3-3 1-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 120, Tien reached the qualifications after beating Gregoire Barrere 4-6 7-6(4) 6-1 and Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-4 6-2.

In the qualifications, The American had a good straight sets win against Pablo Ficovich (6-4 6-2). During the match, Tien scored 68 points vs Pablo Ficovich’s 44. The American was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Tien bagged 16 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Learner Tien was extremely effective on serve to win 86% (32/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Pablo Ficovich 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Learner started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Tien has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 75% of his matches (107-36). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Tien has a compiled83-24 record in the last 4 years on hard.

Learner has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Learner has never competed in this tournament before.

Tien
Australian Open
Tien's Record

Jozef Kovalik

Jozef Kovalik
Jozef Kovalik

2 - 0win/loss

Hard
2-0
I Hard
0-0
Rank
128
High
80
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-1 2-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 36-25 3-5 30-15 3-4 0-1 0-0
2023 23-34 1-3 21-28 1-2 0-1 0-0
2022 33-23 3-6 29-13 1-3 0-1 0-0
2021 31-27 0-1 26-20 5-5 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 128, Kovalik reached the qualifications after defeating Bernard Tomic 6-3 6-1 and August Holmgren 6-7(3) 6-3 7-5.

In the qualifications against Holmgren, The Slovakian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-73 6-3 7-5). During the match Kovalik scored 112 points vs Holmgren’s 108. Kovalik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Kovalik recorded 6 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (52/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (27/51) on the 2nd serve. Jozef broke Holmgren 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kovalik started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Slovakian has a composed 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2016 and 2020. See his history.

Kovalik
Australian Open
Kovalik's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

L.Tien
J.Kovalik
3h:33
3h:33
Time on court​
3h:44
3h:44
1h:12
1h:12
Last match​
!
2h:44
2h:44
2
2
Match played
2
2
48
48
Games Played​
50
50
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
179
179
Total points​
171
171
89.5
89.5
Avg point​
85.5
85.5
67
67
Winners
77
77
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
38.5
38.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
18
18
Aces
12
12
9
9
Avg Aces
6
6
11
11
Double Faults
10
10
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
5
5
67/87
67/87
1st won total​
77/111
77/111
!
77%
77%
1st won %
69%
69%
32/62
32/62
2nd won total​
36/64
36/64
52%
52%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
9/16
9/16
BP won
9/12
9/12
4.5/8
4.5/8
Avg BP won
4.5/6
4.5/6
!
56%
56%
Won
!
75%
75%
17
17
Conceded
12
12
8.5
8.5
Avg Conceded
6
6
4
4
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
13
13
Saved
9
9

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Tien Kovalik
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 48 50
Pts 179-142 171-144
Total Points 321 315
Winners 67 77
%Winners 37% 45%

Both Tien and Kovalik played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Learner Tien dropped 1 set, while Jozef Kovalik lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Tien and Kovalik have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Tien played 2 games less than Kovalik. Learner scored 67 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kovalik made 77 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Tien Kovalik
Aces 18 12
Avg per match 9 6
1st in 87/149 111/175
%1st in 58% 63%
1st pts 67/87 77/111
%1st pts 77% 69%
2nd pts 32/62 36/64
%2nd pts 52% 56%

Tien blasted 18 aces (9 per match). Kovalik bagged 12 aces (6 per match). Tien won 77% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kovalik won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Tien Kovalik
Won 9 9
Converted 9/16 9/12
% Converted 56% 75%
Conceded 17 12
Saved 13 9
% Saved 76% 75%
Times Broken 4 3

The American broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Tien conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. The Slovakian broke his opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Kovalik conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Tien
Q1
Barrere
Q2
Pablo Ficovich
Total
Score 4-6 7-64 6-1 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 30 18 48
pts 111-98 68-44 179-142
Total points 209 112 321
Winners 35 32 67
%Winners 32% 47% 37%
SERVE
Aces 2 16 18
Double Faults 9 2 11
1st in 50/98 37/51 87/149
% 1st in 51% 73% 58%
1st pts 35/50 32/37 67/87
% 1st pts 70% 86% 77%
2nd pts 24/48 8/14 32/62
% 2nd pts 50% 57% 52%
Breaks
Won 6 3 9
Converted 6/12 3/4 9/16
Converted % 50% 75% 56%
Conceded 13 4 17
Saved 9/13 4/4 13
Saved % 69% 100% 85%
Times Broken 4 0 4
Kovalik
Q1
Tomic
Q2
Holmgren
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 6-73 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 16 34 50
pts 59-36 112-108 171-144
Total points 95 220 315
Winners 25 52 77
%Winners 42% 46% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 6 12
Double Faults 2 8 10
1st in 32/45 79/130 111/175
% 1st in 71% 61% 63%
1st pts 25/32 52/79 77/111
% 1st pts 78% 66% 69%
2nd pts 9/13 27/51 36/64
% 2nd pts 69% 53% 56%
Breaks
Won 4 5 9
Converted 4/6 5/6 9/12
Converted % 67% 83% 75%
Conceded 0 12 12
Saved 0/0 9/12 9
Saved % 75% 38%
Times Broken 0 3 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Tien
WWWL
Kovalik
LWW
2025 2024 2023
3 - 1
2 - 1
3-1
Hard
2-1

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw