Anca Alexia Todoni and Varvara Lepchenko will play each other in the qualifications of the Australian Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Anca Alexia Todoni who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Anca Alexia Todoni is the pick to win this match.
Anca Alexia Todoni -> 1.48
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.58
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Prediction and head to head Anca Alexia Todoni vs. Varvara Lepchenko
This will be the 2nd time that Anca Alexia Todoni and Varvara Lepchenko play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alexia Todoni (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Alexia Todoni won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the qualifications in Bogota back in 2024.
Anca Alexia Todoni
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-1 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-21 | 4-3 | 30-13 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 57-16 | 6-3 | 51-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-7 | 0-0 | 25-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110 (career-high), the Romanian reached the qualifications after beating Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 6-1 4-6 6-4 and Leyre Romero Gormaz 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Alexia Todoni had a good straight sets win against Romero Gormaz (6-3 6-2). During the match, Alexia Todoni scored 71 points vs Romero Gormaz’s 54. Anca was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexia Todoni bagged 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Anca Alexia Todoni lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Alexia Todoni put 52% of her first serves in, winning 61% (20/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 73% (22/30) on the 2nd serve. Anca broke Romero Gormaz 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexia Todoni started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Alexia Todoni has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 72% of her matches (133-53). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexia Todoni has an overall17-8 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Alexia Todoni has a compiled 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Alexia Todoni has never competed in this tournament before.
Varvara Lepchenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 128, the American reached the qualifications after defeating Hanna Chang 6-1 6-3 and Heather Watson 3-6 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Watson, Varvara recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-1). During the match Lepchenko scored 76 points vs Watson’s 70. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Lepchenko struck 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Varvara Lepchenko lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Lepchenko put 57% of her first serves in, winning 72% (31/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Lepchenko broke Watson 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Varvara has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexia Todoni | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 41 |
| Pts | 160-131 | 142-113 |
| Total Points | 291 | 255 |
| Winners | 55 | 61 |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% |
Both Alexia Todoni and Lepchenko played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Anca Alexia Todoni surrendered 1 set, while Varvara Lepchenko surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alexia Todoni and Lepchenko have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Alexia Todoni played 3 games more than Lepchenko. Alexia Todoni scored 55 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Lepchenko scored 61 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexia Todoni | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 84/150 | 85/137 |
| %1st in | 56% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 55/84 | 61/85 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 39/66 | 27/52 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 52% |
Alexia Todoni recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Lepchenko scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Alexia Todoni won 65% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexia Todoni | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/25 | 9/12 |
| % Converted | 40% | 75% |
| Conceded | 16 | 14 |
| Saved | 11 | 12 |
| % Saved | 69% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Romanian broke her opponents 10 times with a 40% conversion rate. Alexia Todoni conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Varvara broke her opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Varvara conceded her serve twice and she saved 86% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexia Todoni | ||||
| Q1 Jimenez Kasintseva |
Q2 Romero Gormaz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 | 44 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 71-54 | 160-131 | |
| Total points | 166 | 125 | 291 | |
| Winners | 35 | 20 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 28% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 51/87 | 33/63 | 84/150 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 52% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 35/51 | 20/33 | 55/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 61% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/36 | 22/30 | 39/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 73% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 4/13 | 10/25 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 31% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 7/8 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 88% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Lepchenko | ||||
| Q1 Chang |
Q2 Watson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 25 | 41 | |
| pts | 66-43 | 76-70 | 142-113 | |
| Total points | 109 | 146 | 255 | |
| Winners | 30 | 31 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/61 | 43/76 | 85/137 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/42 | 31/43 | 61/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 16/33 | 27/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/7 | 9/12 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 71% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 4/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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