H2H, prediction of Alex Michelsen vs Lorenzo Sonego in Auckland with odds, preview, pick | 8th January 2025

PREVIEW. Auckland. Michelsen and Sonego will square off in the 2nd round of the ASB Classic. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 8th of January

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Lorenzo Sonego

Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego will play each other in the 2nd round of the ASB Classic for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.63
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.28

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 3rd time that Alex Michelsen and Lorenzo Sonego square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Sonego won 6-0 6-3 in the final in Winston salem back in 2024.

Highlights Lorenzo Sonego vs Alex Michelsen – Winston salem 24-August-2024

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
41
High
41
LWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 3-2 3-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 45-34 26-14 4-9 8-5 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Michelsen reached the 2nd round after defeating Sumit Nagal 6-7(8) 6-4 6-2.

In the 1st round against Nagal, Alex recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 6-4 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 118 points vs Nagal’s 97. The American was very aggressive to blast 53 winners.

Talking about the service games, Michelsen scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 70% of his first serves in, winning 73% (53/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Nagal 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

Michelsen has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (131-72). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Michelsen has a compiled72-36 match record in the last 4 years on hard.

The American has an overall 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Auckland

Michelsen
Auckland
Michelsen's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego

2 - 1win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
54
High
21
LWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 2-2 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 54, Sonego reached the 2nd round after beating Gabriel Diallo 7-6(5) 2-6 7-6(7).

In the 1st round, Lorenzo defeated Diallo (7-65 2-6 7-67).During the match Sonego scored less points (4) than Diallo. In fact, the world no. 41 won 110 points vs Diallo’s. That means that Sonego was more focused during the important points. Lorenzo was extremely aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Talking about serving, Sonego made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Lorenzo Sonego lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Sonego put 73% of his first serves in, winning 68% (58/85) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (22/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Diallo once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).

The Italian has an overall 2-1 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Auckland

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2020. See his history.

Sonego
Auckland
Sonego's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Michelsen
L.Sonego
2h:40
2h:40
Time on court​
2h:58
2h:58
!
2h:40
2h:40
Last match​
!
2h:58
2h:58
1
1
Match played
1
1
31
31
Games Played​
34
34
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
118
118
Total points​
110
110
118
118
Avg point​
110
110
53
53
Winners
58
58
53
53
Avg Winners​
58
58
45%
45%
Ratio winners
53%
53%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
4
4
6
6
Avg Aces
4
4
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
53/73
53/73
1st won total​
58/85
58/85
!
73%
73%
1st won %
68%
68%
13/31
13/31
2nd won total​
22/31
22/31
42%
42%
2nd won %
!
71%
71%
-- Break Points --
6/13
6/13
BP won
1/4
1/4
6/13
6/13
Avg BP won
1/4
1/4
46%
46%
Won
!
25%
25%
10
10
Conceded
13
13
10
10
Avg Conceded
13
13
3
3
Broken
3
3
3
3
Avg Broken
3
3
7
7
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Michelsen Sonego
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 34
Pts 118-97 110-114
Total Points 215 224
Winners 53 58
%Winners 45% 53%

Both Michelsen and Sonego played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Michelsen dropped 1 set, while Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Michelsen and Sonego have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Michelsen played 3 games less than Sonego. Michelsen scored 53 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo made 58 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve Michelsen Sonego
Aces 6 4
Avg per match 6 4
1st in 73/104 85/116
%1st in 70% 73%
1st pts 53/73 58/85
%1st pts 73% 68%
2nd pts 13/31 22/31
%2nd pts 42% 71%

Michelsen struck 6 aces . Sonego blasted 4 aces . Michelsen won 73% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 71% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Michelsen Sonego
Won 6 1
Converted 6/13 1/4
% Converted 46% 25%
Conceded 10 13
Saved 7 10
% Saved 70% 77%
Times Broken 3 3

Michelsen broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent once with a 25% conversion rate. Sonego conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
R1
Nagal		 Total
Score 6-78 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 118-97 118-97
Total points 215 215
Winners 53 53
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 73/104 73/104
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 53/73 53/73
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 13/31 13/31
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/13 6/13
Converted % 46% 46%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3
Sonego
R1
Diallo		 Total
Score 7-65 2-6 7-67
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 110-114 110-114
Total points 224 224
Winners 58 58
%Winners 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 85/116 85/116
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 58/85 58/85
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 22/31 22/31
% 2nd pts 71% 71%
Breaks
Won 1 1
Converted 1/4 1/4
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 10/13 10
Saved % 77% 77%
Times Broken 3 3

Head 2 Head

Alex Michelsen
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 2Chall
  • 2Minor
Lorenzo Sonego
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 3Chall
  • 3Minor

Alex
Michelsen

1:2

Lorenzo
Sonego

Rank

41

High

41

1Hard1

0Clay1

Rank

54

High

21

Win Loss
Michelsen
LWWLW
Sonego
LWLW
2025 2024 2023
3 - 2
2 - 2
3-2
Hard
2-2

Tennis Scores in Auckland

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Michelsen Alex Michelsen
More Stats
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Sonego Lorenzo Sonego