Liam Draxl and Karl Poling will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Manzanillo Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.069
Karl Poling -> 7.2
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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Karl Poling
This will be the 2nd time that Liam Draxl and Karl Poling face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Poling (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Poling won 2-6 2-3 ret. in the quarter in M25 Laval back in July 2024.
Liam Draxl
44 - 23win/loss
269
233
WLWWWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-23 | 14-9 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 269, Draxl got to the 2nd round after defeating Luis Carlos Alvarez 7-6(6) 5-7 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Canadian defeated Carlos Alvarez (7-66 5-7 6-1). During the match, Draxl scored 117 points vs Carlos Alvarez’s 108. Draxl was very aggressive to blast 59 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draxl managed to score 12 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Liam Draxl lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Draxl put 72% of his first serves in, winning 71% (59/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Draxl broke Carlos Alvarez 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Draxl has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (154-80). 14-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draxl has a compiled81-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Draxl’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Constanta,M25 Edmonton,Desmaures and the Puerto Vallarta Challenger.
Draxl has an overall 44-23 win-loss record in 2024, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manzanillo Challenger
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Karl Poling
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-14 | 17-9 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 723 (career-high), Karl got to the 2nd round after beating Alvaro Garcia 6-1 6-0, Tanguy Genier 6-4 6-2 and Matt Kuhar 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, Poling had a good straight sets win against Kuhar (6-3 6-4). During the match Poling scored 70 points vs Kuhar’s 56. Poling was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Poling scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karl Poling lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Poling put 57% of his first serves in, winning 72% (28/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. Karl broke Kuhar 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Laval.
Karl has an aggregate 22-14 win-loss record in 2024, 17-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draxl | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 50 |
| Pts | 117-108 | 193-133 |
| Total Points | 225 | 326 |
| Winners | 59 | 62 |
| %Winners | 50% | 32% |
Draxl played 1 match while Poling competed in 3 matches. Poling started his run from the qualifications while Draxl had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Liam Draxl lost 1 set while Karl Poling hasn’t lost a set so far. Draxl has played 3 set(s) less than Poling (3 vs 6). Therefore, Draxl played 18 games less than Poling. Liam scored 59 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 62 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draxl | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 83/115 | 84/149 |
| %1st in | 72% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 59/83 | 62/84 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 40/65 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 62% |
Draxl blasted 12 aces . Poling bagged 4 aces (1.3 per match). Draxl won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Poling won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draxl | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/12 | 14/31 |
| % Converted | 33% | 45% |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 5 |
| % Saved | 73% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
The Canadian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Poling broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Poling conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draxl | |||
| R1 Carlos |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 5-7 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 117-108 | 117-108 | |
| Total points | 225 | 225 | |
| Winners | 59 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 83/115 | 83/115 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 59/83 | 59/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 13/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/12 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Poling | |||||
| Q1 Garcia |
Q3 Genier |
R1 Kuhar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 18 | 19 | 50 | |
| pts | 51-23 | 72-54 | 70-56 | 193-133 | |
| Total points | 74 | 126 | 126 | 326 | |
| Winners | 14 | 20 | 28 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 28% | 40% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 16/30 | 29/51 | 39/68 | 84/149 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 57% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 14/16 | 20/29 | 28/39 | 62/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 69% | 72% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 16/22 | 14/29 | 40/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 73% | 48% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 4/14 | 4/6 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 29% | 67% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 60% | 127% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWWW
WWWLWLWLWL Tennis Scores in Manzanillo Challenger
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aziz DougazDougaz – Justin EngelEngel (6-0 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Aidan MayoMayo – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Michael GeertsGeerts – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix CorwinCorwin – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karl PolingPoling – Liam DraxlDraxl (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alan MagadanMagadan – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
