Luca Nardi and Francesco Maestrelli will clash against each other in the final of the Rovereto Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.4
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Francesco Maestrelli
This will be the 2nd time that Luca Nardi and Francesco Maestrelli play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nardi (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played, Nardi won 7-5 6-4 in the qualifications in at the Australian Open back in January 2024.
Luca Nardi
30 - 27win/loss
110
70
WWWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-27 | 13-14 | 8-5 | 8-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-9 | 7-2 | 1-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, Luca reached the final after beating Giovanni Fonio 3-6 6-2 6-2, Max Hans Rehberg 6-2 6-2, Oleg Prihodko 6-2 6-2 and Martin Landaluce 6-4 2-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Landaluce (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match, Nardi scored 79 points vs Landaluce’s 76. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nardi fired 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Luca Nardi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 59% of his first serves in, winning 71% (32/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Landaluce 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Nardi has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (151-120). 8-4 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nardi has an overall42-37 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Naples Challenger where he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 5-7 7-6(3) 6-2.
Luca has a composed 30-27 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rovereto Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
37 - 35win/loss
284
149
WWWWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-35 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 284, Francesco got to the final after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 7-6(5) 6-3, Michael Agwi 7-6(10) 6-7(5) 6-2, Dino Prizmic 3-6 6-1 7-6(1) and August Holmgren 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal against Holmgren, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Maestrelli scored 82 points vs Holmgren’s 75. Maestrelli was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Maestrelli struck 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Italian broke Holmgren twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Francesco’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Monastir.
Maestrelli has an overall 37-35 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 112 |
| Pts | 281-210 | 383-336 |
| Total Points | 491 | 719 |
| Winners | 107 | 156 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Nardi and Maestrelli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Nardi conceded 2 sets, while Francesco Maestrelli conceded 3 sets. Nardi has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (10 vs 11). Therefore, Nardi played 28 games less than Maestrelli. Luca scored 107 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli scored 156 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 23 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 141/242 | 204/360 |
| %1st in | 58% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 107/141 | 156/204 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 58/101 | 92/156 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 59% |
Nardi fired 23 aces (5.8 per match). Maestrelli blasted 25 aces (6.3 per match). Nardi won 76% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 12 |
| Converted | 18/32 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded | 19 | 26 |
| Saved | 13 | 18 |
| % Saved | 68% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Luca broke his opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Nardi lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Maestrelli broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | ||||||
| R1 Fonio |
R2 Hans |
1/4 Prihodko |
1/2 Landaluce |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 16 | 16 | 27 | 84 | |
| pts | 88-72 | 57-28 | 57-34 | 79-76 | 281-210 | |
| Total points | 160 | 85 | 91 | 155 | 491 | |
| Winners | 27 | 26 | 22 | 32 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 46% | 39% | 41% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 38/80 | 29/39 | 29/47 | 45/76 | 141/242 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 74% | 62% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 26/29 | 22/29 | 32/45 | 107/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 90% | 76% | 71% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/42 | 7/10 | 13/18 | 14/31 | 58/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 70% | 72% | 45% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 5/7 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 57% | 80% | 71% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 19 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 4/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||||
| R1 Herbert |
R2 Agwi |
1/4 Prizmic |
1/2 Holmgren |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 7-610 6-75 6-2 | 3-6 6-1 7-61 | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 34 | 29 | 27 | 112 | |
| pts | 81-75 | 117-99 | 103-87 | 82-75 | 383-336 | |
| Total points | 156 | 216 | 190 | 157 | 719 | |
| Winners | 37 | 45 | 38 | 36 | 156 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 37% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 47/88 | 56/101 | 55/93 | 46/78 | 204/360 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 55% | 59% | 59% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 45/56 | 38/55 | 36/46 | 156/204 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 80% | 69% | 78% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/41 | 30/45 | 22/38 | 19/32 | 92/156 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 67% | 58% | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/8 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 80% | 40% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 26 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 3/5 | 6/9 | 3/5 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLLWWWW
WWWWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Rovereto Challenger
- N.Sriram Balaji/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBalaji/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli – Theo Arribage/Francisco CabralArribage/Francisco Cabral (6-3 2-6 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
