August Holmgren and Alexey Vatutin will face off in the quarter of the Rovereto Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is August Holmgren who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, August Holmgren is the pick to win this match.
August Holmgren -> 1.77
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.96
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Prediction and head to head August Holmgren vs. Alexey Vatutin
There is no head to head record between August Holmgren and Alexey Vatutin since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
August Holmgren
36 - 24win/loss
197
163
WWLLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-24 | 24-12 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 33-14 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-12 | 18-4 | 10-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, August got to the quarter after defeating Jules Marie 6-1 6-2 and Federico Arnaboldi 6-3 6-1.
In the 2nd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Arnaboldi (6-3 6-1). During the match, Holmgren scored 58 points vs Arnaboldi’s 36. August was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Holmgren made 5 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (19/27) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. August broke Arnaboldi 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 62% of the points he played.
Holmgren has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (171-90). 6-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Holmgren has an overall14-15 record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Pozoblanco Challenger where he defeated Antoine Escoffier in the final 3-6 6-3 6-4 and the Porto Challenger where he beat Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(6).
Holmgren has an overall 36-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rovereto Challenger
August has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexey Vatutin
52 - 30win/loss
340
136
WWLWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-30 | 0-2 | 32-15 | 20-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 340, Vatutin reached the quarter after beating Giovanni Oradini 6-2 6-4 and Daniel Masur 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Masur (6-2 7-5). During the match Vatutin scored 77 points vs Masur’s 59. Alexey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Vatutin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve once and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 61% of his first serves in, winning 78% (32/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Alexey broke Masur 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Alexey’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne,M25 Creteil and M25 Deauville.
Vatutin has a compiled 52-30 win-loss record in 2024, 20-13 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Holmgren | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 38 |
| Pts | 112-69 | 143-110 |
| Total Points | 181 | 253 |
| Winners | 43 | 59 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Holmgren and Vatutin played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Holmgren and Vatutin have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Holmgren played 7 games less than Vatutin. Holmgren scored 43 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 59 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Holmgren | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 58/95 | 77/121 |
| %1st in | 61% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 59/77 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 25/37 | 24/44 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 55% |
Holmgren blasted 11 aces (5.5 per match). Vatutin struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Holmgren won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Holmgren | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 7/20 |
| % Converted | 56% | 35% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 10 | 6 |
| % Saved | 91% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Dane broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Alexey broke his opponents 7 times with a 35% conversion rate. Alexey conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Holmgren | ||||
| R1 Marie |
R2 Arnaboldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 31 | |
| pts | 54-33 | 58-36 | 112-69 | |
| Total points | 87 | 94 | 181 | |
| Winners | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 27/46 | 58/95 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 19/27 | 43/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 13/19 | 25/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/10 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Vatutin | ||||
| R1 Oradini |
R2 Masur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 66-51 | 77-59 | 143-110 | |
| Total points | 117 | 136 | 253 | |
| Winners | 27 | 32 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 41/67 | 77/121 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/36 | 32/41 | 59/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 78% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 12/26 | 24/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 46% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/11 | 7/20 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 36% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexey VatutinVatutin – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
