Ugo Humbert and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.66
Karen Khachanov -> 2.22
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 2nd time that Ugo Humbert and Karen Khachanov face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Khachanov (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Khachanov won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2021.
Ugo Humbert
39 - 23win/loss
14
13
LWWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Ugo got to the semifinal after beating Brandon Nakashima 6-3 4-6 6-4, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-2, Carlos Alcaraz 6-1 3-6 7-5 and Jordan Thompson 6-2 7-6(4).
In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-2 7-64). During the match, Humbert scored 67 points vs Thompson’s 52. Humbert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ugo Humbert was quite effective on serve to win 79% (34/43) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Thompson 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has lost 2 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (340-216). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has a composed 101-62 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.
Ugo has a compiled 38-23 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Karen Khachanov
37 - 22win/loss
19
8
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Khachanov reached the semifinal after defeating Christopher O Connell 6-4 3-6 7-6(6), Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-7(12) 6-1 6-4, Alexei Popyrin 7-6(5) 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter, Karen had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (6-2 6-3). During the match Khachanov scored 57 points vs Dimitrov’s 38. Karen was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov blasted 6 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Karen broke Dimitrov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Doha where he overcame Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4 and in Almaty where he overcame Gabriel Diallo in the final 6-2 5-7 6-3.
The Russian has an overall 37-21 win-loss record in 2024, 14-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 102 |
| Pts | 304-248 | 333-284 |
| Total Points | 552 | 617 |
| Winners | 140 | 165 |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% |
Both Humbert and Khachanov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets, while Karen Khachanov surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Humbert played 7 games less than Khachanov. Ugo scored 140 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Karen made 165 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 34 | 32 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 8 |
| 1st in | 179/289 | 201/292 |
| %1st in | 62% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 140/179 | 165/201 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 65/110 | 54/91 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 59% |
Humbert struck 34 aces (8.5 per match). Khachanov struck 32 aces (8 per match). Humbert won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 12 |
| Converted | 12/22 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 55% | 46% |
| Conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Saved | 6 | 8 |
| % Saved | 60% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Humbert broke his opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Humbert conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Khachanov broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | ||||||
| R1 Nakashima |
R2 Giron |
R3 Alcaraz |
1/4 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 3-6 7-5 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 28 | 21 | 95 | |
| pts | 89-77 | 59-37 | 89-82 | 67-52 | 304-248 | |
| Total points | 166 | 96 | 171 | 119 | 552 | |
| Winners | 43 | 24 | 39 | 34 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 41% | 44% | 51% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 34 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 51/84 | 31/48 | 54/96 | 43/61 | 179/289 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 65% | 56% | 70% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 43/51 | 24/31 | 39/54 | 34/43 | 140/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 72% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/33 | 10/17 | 25/42 | 10/18 | 65/110 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 59% | 60% | 56% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 3/7 | 12/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 0% | 75% | 50% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Khachanov | ||||||
| R1 O |
R2 Mpetshi |
R3 Popyrin |
1/4 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 7-66 | 6-712 6-1 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 102 | |
| pts | 93-99 | 99-74 | 84-73 | 57-38 | 333-284 | |
| Total points | 192 | 173 | 157 | 95 | 617 | |
| Winners | 48 | 52 | 38 | 27 | 165 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 53% | 45% | 47% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 56/81 | 51/68 | 34/45 | 201/292 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 69% | 75% | 76% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 48/60 | 52/56 | 38/51 | 27/34 | 165/201 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 93% | 75% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 19/25 | 11/17 | 7/11 | 54/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 76% | 65% | 64% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 3/3 | 3/11 | 4/6 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 27% | 67% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/0 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 60% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
LWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-4 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten (6-73 6-1 12-10) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (7-613 7-5) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jordan ThompsonThompson (6-2 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Alexander ZverevZverev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
