Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.67
Alex De Minaur -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jack Draper
This will be the 5th time that Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper face off. The head to head is 3-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they played each other, Draper won 6-3 7-5 6-2 in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in September 2024.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Alex De Minaur – U.S. Open 04-September-2024
Alex De Minaur
47 - 15win/loss
9
6
LLLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-20 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-8 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Australian got to the 3rd round after defeating Mariano Navone 7-5 6-1 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-4 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round, De Minaur had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-4 7-65). During the match, De Minaur scored 81 points vs Kecmanovic’s 72. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, De Minaur made 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 60% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (15/33) on the 2nd serve. Alex was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kecmanovic 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
De Minaur hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (364-202). 10-3 on indoor hard courts in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, De Minaur has a compiled 66-38 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.
The Australian has a composed 46-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Jack Draper
39 - 22win/loss
15
15
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 15 (career-high), the Brit got to the 3rd round after defeating Jiri Lehecka 7-5 6-2 and Taylor Fritz 7-6(6) 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Brit defeated Fritz (7-66 4-6 6-4). During the match Draper scored 106 points vs Fritz’s 104. The Brit was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Draper bagged 14 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jack Draper was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (40/52) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Draper broke Fritz twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 and in Vienna where he overcame Karen Khachanov in the final 6-4 7-5.
The Brit has a compiled 39-21 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 53 |
| Pts | 149-117 | 167-147 |
| Total Points | 266 | 314 |
| Winners | 58 | 65 |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% |
Both De Minaur and Draper played 2 matches. At the moment, Jack Draper conceded 1 set while Alex De Minaur hasn’t conceded a set so far. De Minaur has played 1 set(s) less than Draper (4 vs 5). Therefore, De Minaur played 11 games less than Draper. De Minaur scored 58 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 65 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 79/146 | 78/139 |
| %1st in | 54% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 58/79 | 65/78 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 37/67 | 38/61 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 62% |
De Minaur scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Draper struck 20 aces (10 per match). De Minaur won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/11 | 5/17 |
| % Converted | 73% | 29% |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 |
| Saved | 9 | 0 |
| % Saved | 69% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Navone |
R2 Kecmanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 42 | |
| pts | 68-45 | 81-72 | 149-117 | |
| Total points | 113 | 153 | 266 | |
| Winners | 22 | 36 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/64 | 49/82 | 79/146 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 60% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 36/49 | 58/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/34 | 15/33 | 37/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 45% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 57% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Draper | ||||
| R1 Lehecka |
R2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 7-66 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 53 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 106-104 | 167-147 | |
| Total points | 104 | 210 | 314 | |
| Winners | 25 | 40 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 26/49 | 52/90 | 78/139 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 25/26 | 40/52 | 65/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 77% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 23/38 | 38/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 61% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/10 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 20% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWWLW
LWWWWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (6-712 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-4 2-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor FritzFritz (7-66 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-79 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Zizou BergsBergs (3-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (7-66 7-67) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-62 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-63 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden – Marcelo Melo/Alexander ZverevMelo/Alexander Zverev (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Andrey RublevRublev (7-66 7-65) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ben SheltonShelton (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(6) 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (7-6(2) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (3-1) – H2H and prediction
