Arthur Cazaux and Mackenzie Mcdonald will face off in the final of the Shenzhen Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mackenzie Mcdonald who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mackenzie Mcdonald is the pick to win this match.
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 1.71
Arthur Cazaux -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Arthur Cazaux vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
There is no head to head record between Arthur Cazaux and Mackenzie Mcdonald since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Arthur Cazaux
27 - 21win/loss
63
63
WWLWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-24 | 25-15 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-29 | 31-13 | 11-9 | 3-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 14-3 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-19 | 16-4 | 22-11 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-11 | 9-3 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 |
Ranked no. 87, the French player got to the final after beating Yaojie Zeng 6-3 6-2, Tianhui Zhang 7-6(5) 6-1, Arthur Weber 6-1 6-3 and Yan Bai 6-4 6-0.
In the semifinal, Cazaux had a good straight sets win against Bai (6-4 6-0). During the match, Cazaux scored 61 points vs Bai’s 38. Cazaux was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cazaux struck 5 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Arthur Cazaux was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (19/25) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The French player broke Bai 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Arthur hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points he played.
Cazaux has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 63% of his matches (167-99). 25-14 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Cazaux has an aggregate100-39 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Enzo Couacaud in the final 6-1 6-1.
The French player has an aggregate 27-21 win-loss record in 2024, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22 - 21win/loss
131
37
LWLWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 18-12 | 0-4 | 3-1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 137, Mcdonald got to the final after defeating Thomas Fancutt 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1, Rio Noguchi 6-2 6-3, Kris Van Wyk 6-3 6-2 and Adam Walton 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Walton (6-3 6-4). During the match Mcdonald scored 61 points vs Walton’s 54. Mcdonald was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald made 8 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mcdonald broke Walton twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Nonthaburi 4 Challenger and the Hangzhou Challenger.
Mackenzie has an overall 22-21 win-loss record in 2024, 16-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cazaux | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 86 |
| Pts | 254-169 | 297-238 |
| Total Points | 423 | 535 |
| Winners | 88 | 123 |
| %Winners | 35% | 41% |
Both Cazaux and Mcdonald played 4 matches. At the moment, Mackenzie Mcdonald conceded 1 set while Arthur Cazaux hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Cazaux has played 1 set(s) less than Mcdonald (8 vs 9). Therefore, Cazaux played 17 games less than Mcdonald. Cazaux scored 88 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 123 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cazaux | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 22 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 108/191 | 155/283 |
| %1st in | 57% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 88/108 | 123/155 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 47/83 | 75/128 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 59% |
Cazaux recorded 22 aces (5.5 per match). Mcdonald struck 28 aces (7 per match). Cazaux won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cazaux | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 12 |
| Converted | 19/36 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 53% | 52% |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 7 |
| % Saved | 62% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
The French player broke his opponents 19 times with a 53% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Mackenzie broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cazaux | ||||||
| R1 Zeng |
R2 Zhang |
1/4 Weber |
1/2 Bai |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-65 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 69 | |
| pts | 57-33 | 76-56 | 60-42 | 61-38 | 254-169 | |
| Total points | 90 | 132 | 102 | 99 | 423 | |
| Winners | 22 | 32 | 15 | 19 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% | 25% | 31% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 24/43 | 37/64 | 22/41 | 25/43 | 108/191 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 58% | 54% | 58% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/24 | 32/37 | 15/22 | 19/25 | 88/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 86% | 68% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 15/27 | 10/19 | 10/18 | 47/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 56% | 53% | 56% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/6 | 6/13 | 6/9 | 19/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 46% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 5/5 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 33% | 50% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Mcdonald | ||||||
| R1 Fancutt |
R2 Noguchi |
1/4 Van |
1/2 Walton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-75 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 86 | |
| pts | 115-100 | 59-40 | 62-44 | 61-54 | 297-238 | |
| Total points | 215 | 99 | 106 | 115 | 535 | |
| Winners | 48 | 23 | 24 | 28 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% | 39% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 62/109 | 26/48 | 31/59 | 36/67 | 155/283 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 54% | 53% | 54% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 48/62 | 23/26 | 24/31 | 28/36 | 123/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 77% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/47 | 12/22 | 18/28 | 18/31 | 75/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 55% | 64% | 58% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 4/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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