Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pedro Sakamoto will clash against each other in the quarter of the Villa Maria Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.21
Pedro Sakamoto -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Pedro Sakamoto
This will be the 4th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Pedro Sakamoto play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sakamoto (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Sakamoto won 6-3 7-6(0) in the 2nd round in M25 Lima back in 2020.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
44 - 26win/loss
97
91
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Renzo Olivo 6-4 6-0 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4-6 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Daniel Vallejo, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 97 points vs Daniel Vallejo’s 84. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli fired 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 61% of his first serves in, winning 63% (35/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (22/36) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Daniel Vallejo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (331-194). 41-21 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate302-165 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Camilo has an aggregate 43-26 win-loss record in 2024, 41-21 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Villa Maria Challenger
Pedro Sakamoto
32 - 24win/loss
335
271
LLWLWLLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-30 | 7-3 | 28-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-24 | 4-2 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-24 | 2-3 | 19-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 14-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 286, Sakamoto reached the quarter after beating Juan Ignacio Londero 7-5 6-7(3) 6-0 and Federico Agustin Gomez 4-6 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Agustin Gomez, Pedro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-66 6-4). During the match Sakamoto scored 110 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 102. The Brazilian was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Sakamoto scored 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Pedro Sakamoto was quite effective on serve to win 75% (44/59) of his 1st serve and 64% (25/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Pedro broke Agustin Gomez twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Pedro’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Belem and M25 Sao Paulo.
Sakamoto has a compiled 32-23 win-loss record in 2024, 26-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 64 |
| Pts | 152-125 | 232-201 |
| Total Points | 277 | 433 |
| Winners | 58 | 102 |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Sakamoto played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 1 set, while Pedro Sakamoto surrendered 2 sets. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Sakamoto (5 vs 6). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 21 games less than Sakamoto. The Argentine scored 58 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Pedro struck 102 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 91/144 | 153/228 |
| %1st in | 63% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 58/91 | 102/153 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 29/53 | 42/75 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 56% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Sakamoto fired 14 aces (7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 64% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 9 |
| Converted | 11/18 | 9/16 |
| % Converted | 61% | 56% |
| Conceded | 18 | 21 |
| Saved | 14 | 16 |
| % Saved | 78% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The Brazilian broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Olivo |
R2 Daniel Vallejo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 4-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 43 | |
| pts | 55-41 | 97-84 | 152-125 | |
| Total points | 96 | 181 | 277 | |
| Winners | 23 | 35 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/52 | 56/92 | 91/144 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 61% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 35/56 | 58/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 63% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 22/36 | 29/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 61% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/9 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 56% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 12 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 10/12 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Sakamoto | ||||
| R1 Londero |
R2 Agustin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-73 6-0 | 4-6 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 33 | 64 | |
| pts | 122-99 | 110-102 | 232-201 | |
| Total points | 221 | 212 | 433 | |
| Winners | 58 | 44 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 94/130 | 59/98 | 153/228 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 60% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 58/94 | 44/59 | 102/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 75% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/36 | 25/39 | 42/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 64% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 7/8 | 2/8 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 88% | 25% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 6 | 21 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 4/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 67% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWL
LLWLWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Villa Maria Challenger
- Pedro Sakamoto/Gonzalo VillanuevaSakamoto/Gonzalo Villanueva – Scott Duncan/Hunter ReeseDuncan/Hunter Reese (3-6 6-1 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pedro SakamotoSakamoto – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Jesper De JongDe Jong (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (3-0) – H2H and prediction
