Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova will fight against each other in the final of the China Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.8
Cori Gauff -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 3rd time that Cori Gauff and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Gauff (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 6-4 7-5 in the semifinal in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Karolina Muchova – U.S. Open 07-September-2023
Cori Gauff
46 - 15win/loss
3
2
LWWLWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-17 | 31-9 | 14-5 | 2-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Cori reached the final after defeating Clara Burel 7-5 6-3, Katie Boulter 7-5 6-2, Naomi Osaka 3-6 6-4 ret., Yuliia Starodubtseva 2-6 6-2 6-2 and Paula Badosa 4-6 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal against Badosa, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 111 points vs Badosa’s 99. Cori was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gauff blasted 6 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 53% of her first serves in, winning 76% (37/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (18/44) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Badosa 6 times after converting 30% of her break points (6/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of her matches (221-97). 27-8 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Gauff has a compiled126-56 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Auckland where she defeated Elina Svitolina in the final 6-7(4) 6-3 6-3.
Cori has an aggregate 46-15 win-loss record in 2024, 27-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Karolina Muchova
18 - 5win/loss
22
8
LWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, the Czech got to the final after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1, Yue Yuan 6-3 6-1, Jaqueline Cristian 6-1 6-3, Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-0, Aryna Sabalenka 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4 and Qinwen Zheng 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Zheng (6-3 6-4). During the match Muchova scored 67 points vs Zheng’s 51. Muchova was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova made 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Karolina Muchova was very efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Muchova broke Zheng twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karolina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Czech’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Palermo.
Karolina has an overall 18-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 13 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 112 | 110 |
| Pts | 410-354 | 416-306 |
| Total Points | 764 | 722 |
| Winners | 154 | 158 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Gauff played 5 matches while Muchova competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff lost 3 sets, while Karolina Muchova surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gauff and Muchova have played the same amount of sets 13. However, Gauff played 2 games more than Muchova. Gauff scored 154 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Muchova struck 158 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 206/353 | 208/345 |
| %1st in | 58% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 154/206 | 158/208 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 60/147 | 74/137 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 54% |
Gauff recorded 20 aces (4 per match). Muchova bagged 20 aces (3.3 per match). Gauff won 75% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 25 | 25 |
| Converted | 25/62 | 25/55 |
| % Converted | 40% | 45% |
| Conceded | 36 | 24 |
| Saved | 20 | 18 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 16 | 6 |
The American broke her opponents 25 times with a 40% conversion rate. Cori dropped her serve 16 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 25 times with a 45% conversion rate. Karolina conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||||
| R2 Burel |
R3 Boulter |
R4 Osaka |
1/4 Starodubtseva |
1/2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 ret. | 2-6 6-2 6-2 | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 20 | 19 | 24 | 28 | 112 | |
| pts | 82-72 | 66-50 | 67-63 | 84-70 | 111-99 | 410-354 | |
| Total points | 154 | 116 | 130 | 154 | 210 | 764 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 21 | 33 | 37 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% | 31% | 39% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 37 | |
| 1st in | 44/68 | 39/55 | 32/59 | 42/78 | 49/93 | 206/353 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 71% | 54% | 54% | 53% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/44 | 32/39 | 21/32 | 33/42 | 37/49 | 154/206 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 82% | 66% | 79% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/24 | 8/16 | 10/27 | 15/36 | 18/44 | 60/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 50% | 37% | 42% | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 4/7 | 5/11 | 5/7 | 6/20 | 25/62 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 57% | 45% | 71% | 30% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 36 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 0/1 | 1/6 | 10/13 | 6/10 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 0% | 17% | 77% | 60% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Muchova | ||||||||
| R1 Blinkova |
R2 Yuan |
R3 Cristian |
R4 Bucsa |
1/4 Sabalenka |
1/2 Zheng |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-2 6-0 | 7-65 2-6 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 19 | 110 | |
| pts | 59-29 | 61-46 | 61-40 | 64-37 | 104-103 | 67-51 | 416-306 | |
| Total points | 88 | 107 | 101 | 101 | 207 | 118 | 722 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | 25 | 17 | 41 | 31 | 158 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 41% | 27% | 39% | 46% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 26/43 | 31/55 | 32/50 | 18/36 | 62/104 | 39/57 | 208/345 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 56% | 64% | 50% | 60% | 68% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 22/31 | 25/32 | 17/18 | 41/62 | 31/39 | 158/208 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 71% | 78% | 94% | 66% | 79% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 11/24 | 10/18 | 11/18 | 22/42 | 11/18 | 74/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 46% | 56% | 61% | 52% | 61% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 5/8 | 5/13 | 3/10 | 2/4 | 25/55 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 63% | 38% | 30% | 50% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 24 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 7/8 | 5/6 | 0/0 | 4/8 | 1/1 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 83% | – | 50% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWW
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- David PoljakPoljak – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
