[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Haddad Maia, Sabalenka, Mertens, Paolini, Pegula to win the Beijing

Beijing draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to topple Beatriz Haddad Maia, Aryna Sabalenka, Elise Mertens, Jasmine Paolini, Jessica Pegula to conquer the competition in the China Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Beijing. Keys has defeated Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-2 6-1 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Beatriz Haddad Maia.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw andherprojected opposition in China Open. Keys has a unfavourable record (7-8) with the presumable opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Sara Sorribes Tormo (104) – 6-2 6-1
R3 – Beatriz Haddad Maia (12) – H2H 1-1
R4 – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 1-3
or Ashlyn Krueger (68) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Elise Mertens (29) – H2H 3-2
or Karolina Muchova (49) – H2H 1-0
1/2 – Jasmine Paolini (5) – H2H 1-1
or Qinwen Zheng (7) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Jessica Pegula (3) – H2H 1-1
or Cori Gauff (6) – H2H 3-2
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Beatriz Haddad Maia’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

38 - 27win/loss in 2024

Rank
17
High
10
WWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-27 25-17 10-7 0-0 3-3 0-0
2023 37-22 16-14 13-5 4-0 4-3 0-0
2022 51-23 23-14 14-5 2-2 12-2 0-0
2021 76-25 37-13 35-10 2-1 2-1 0-0
2020 27-2 27-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 30-17 14-6 10-9 0-0 6-2 0-0
2018 14-20 11-15 3-4 0-1 0-0 0-0
2017 39-19 17-10 18-5 1-1 3-3 0-0

Beatriz Haddad Maia has a 33-23 win-loss record in 2024, 22-13 on hard. In the course of the previous 14 years, Haddad Maia has a 219-108 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Brazilian will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the current year was winning the tournament in Seoul where she defeated Daria Kasatkina in the final 1-6 6-4 6-1.

Last year in China Open the Brazilian was overcome by Jasmine Paolini in the 1st round 3-6 6-4 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia

This would be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Beatriz Haddad Maia fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Keys and Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

56 - 14win/loss in 2024

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1

Aryna Sabalenka has a 47-11 win-loss record in 2024, 31-6 on hard. In the course of the previous 9 years, the Belarussian has a 220-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2, in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5, and at the U.S. Open where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 7-5.

Last year in China Open Aryna was overcome by Elena Rybakina in the quarter 7-5 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 5th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Madison Keys could take on Ashlyn Krueger. Their H2H is 0-0.

1/4 – Elise Mertens’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-2 for Madison Keys

27 - 25win/loss in 2024

Rank
34
High
12
LWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-25 17-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0
2020 34-13 17-7 9-4 8-2 0-0 0-0
2019 35-27 23-14 4-6 1-3 7-4 0-0
2018 46-21 25-13 16-2 1-2 4-4 0-0
2017 43-25 20-12 13-6 9-3 1-4 0-0

Elise Mertens has a 26-22 win-loss record in 2024, 16-12 on hard. In the last 13 years, Mertens has a 261-133 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Elise won 6 of her last 10 matches.

The Belgian’s best result of this current year was reaching the final Hobart.

Last year in China Open Mertens lost to Yue Yuan in the 1st round 3-6 6-1 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elise Mertens

This would be the 6th time that Madison Keys and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys may play Karolina Muchova. Their H2H is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Jasmine Paolini’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

42 - 21win/loss in 2024

Rank
4
High
4
WLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0
2020 7-15 1-8 4-5 2-2 0-0 0-0
2019 48-29 12-8 32-14 4-6 0-1 0-0
2018 28-33 9-9 18-18 1-3 0-3 0-0
2017 28-28 10-8 11-9 3-6 4-4 0-1

Jasmine Paolini has a 37-16 win-loss record in 2024, 17-8 on hard. During the previous 12 years, Paolini has a 125-95 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Jasmine won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best achievement of the year was winning the competition in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.

Last year in China Open Jasmine was defeated by Aryna Sabalenka in the 3rd round 6-4 7-6(4).

H2H Madison Keys vs. Jasmine Paolini

This would be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Jasmine Paolini face off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 for Keys on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys could come up against Qinwen Zheng. Their H2H is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

Final – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 1-1

39 - 16win/loss in 2024

Rank
7
High
3
LLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0
2017 12-9 12-6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 38-12 win-loss record in 2024, 28-7 on hard. In the course of the previous 16 years, the American has a 250-124 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Pegula won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant achievement of this current season was winning the title in Berlin where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3), and in Toronto where she overcame Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.

Last year in China Open Jessica capitulated to Jelena Ostapenko in the 3rd round 6-4 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Jessica Pegula

This would be the 3rd time that Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Keys and Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

Yet, Madison Keys may face Cori Gauff. Their H2H is 3-2 for Madison Keys.