Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli will clash against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on MOON. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.185
Flavio Cobolli -> 4.8
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Flavio Cobolli
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-4 6-3 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in August 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli – U.S. Open 31-August-2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BpEyJnYmMAE
Daniil Medvedev
41 - 16win/loss
5
1
LWLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the quarter after beating Gael Monfils 6-3 6-4 and Adrian Mannarino 7-6(6) 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-66 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 76 points vs Mannarino’s 60. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (505-203). 24-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a composed 242-76 record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Daniil has a compiled 41-16 win-loss record in 2024, 24-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Flavio Cobolli
41 - 26win/loss
32
30
LWLWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Flavio reached the quarter after beating Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-1 7-6(4) and Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Flavio had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-4 6-2). During the match Cobolli scored 59 points vs Kotov’s 45. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Cobolli bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Flavio Cobolli was quite efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Kotov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cobolli has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final Washington.
The Italian has a composed 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 25-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 48 |
| Pts | 154-115 | 159-137 |
| Total Points | 269 | 296 |
| Winners | 59 | 77 |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% |
Both Medvedev and Cobolli played 2 matches. At the moment, Flavio Cobolli surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Cobolli (4 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 8 games less than Cobolli. Daniil scored 59 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Cobolli recorded 77 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.5 |
| 1st in | 77/132 | 93/159 |
| %1st in | 58% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 59/77 | 77/93 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 28/55 | 32/66 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 48% |
Medvedev managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Cobolli managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Medvedev won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 6 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 69% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Monfils |
R2 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-66 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 21 | 40 | |
| pts | 78-55 | 76-60 | 154-115 | |
| Total points | 133 | 136 | 269 | |
| Winners | 23 | 36 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 47% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 32/64 | 45/68 | 77/132 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 66% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 36/45 | 59/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 80% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/32 | 10/23 | 28/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 43% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/6 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 67% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 71% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Cobolli | ||||
| R1 Bublik |
R2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 7-64 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 | 48 | |
| pts | 100-92 | 59-45 | 159-137 | |
| Total points | 192 | 104 | 296 | |
| Winners | 50 | 27 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 62/109 | 31/50 | 93/159 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 62% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 50/62 | 27/31 | 77/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 87% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/47 | 11/19 | 32/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 58% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/7 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWWLW
LWLWLWWWLL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
