Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov will fight against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 4:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.105
Karen Khachanov -> 6.75
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Karen Khachanov
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Karen Khachanov square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-4 7-5 in the quarter in Madrid back in 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Karen Khachanov – Madrid 03-May-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
45 - 9win/loss
3
1
WLWLLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz reached the quarter after defeating Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4 6-4 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-1 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Alcaraz had a good straight sets win against Griekspoor (6-1 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 55 points vs Griekspoor’s 29. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz struck 4 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Carlos Alcaraz conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 56% of his first serves in, win 100% (23/23) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Griekspoor 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Carlos hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to win 59% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (278-72). 16-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a compiled91-24 record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 and at the Wimbledon where he beat Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-2 7-6(4).
Carlos has a composed 45-9 win-loss record in 2024, 16-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Karen Khachanov
25 - 18win/loss
19
8
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-22 | 14-12 | 8-4 | 14-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-18 | 18-10 | 10-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-25 | 17-11 | 9-7 | 6-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-24 | 17-9 | 5-6 | 8-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-15 | 12-6 | 4-3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 27, Khachanov reached the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-4 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-6(4) 7-6(9).
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (7-64 7-69). During the match Khachanov scored 85 points vs Cerundolo’s 80. Khachanov was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Khachanov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Karen Khachanov lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Khachanov put 58% of his first serves in, winning 82% (40/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. Karen broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karen hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where he defeated Jakub Mensik in the final 7-6(12) 6-4.
Karen has a composed 25-18 win-loss record in 2024, 14-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 46 |
| Pts | 116-79 | 156-141 |
| Total Points | 195 | 297 |
| Winners | 48 | 68 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Alcaraz and Khachanov played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Khachanov have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Alcaraz played 11 games less than Khachanov. Alcaraz scored 48 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Khachanov managed to score 68 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 57/97 | 84/141 |
| %1st in | 59% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 68/84 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 27/40 | 28/57 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 49% |
Alcaraz recorded 9 aces (4.5 per match). Khachanov scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Alcaraz won 84% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Khachanov won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Spaniard pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Karen broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R1 Mpetshi |
R2 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 15 | 35 | |
| pts | 61-50 | 55-29 | 116-79 | |
| Total points | 111 | 84 | 195 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 34/56 | 23/41 | 57/97 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 56% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 23/23 | 48/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 100% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/22 | 9/18 | 27/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 82% | 50% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/7 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 57% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Khachanov | ||||
| R1 Carballes Baena |
R2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 7-64 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 26 | 46 | |
| pts | 71-61 | 85-80 | 156-141 | |
| Total points | 132 | 165 | 297 | |
| Winners | 28 | 40 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 49/85 | 84/141 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 58% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 40/49 | 68/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 17/36 | 28/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 47% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/5 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 60% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
