Sebastian Fanselow and Alexey Vatutin will square off in the qualifications of the Szczecin Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 am on COURT 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexey Vatutin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexey Vatutin is the pick to win this match.
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.86
Sebastian Fanselow -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Fanselow vs. Alexey Vatutin
This will be the 3rd time that Sebastian Fanselow and Alexey Vatutin play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Fanselow and Vatutin (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Fanselow won 5-7 6-2 7-6(7) in the 1st round in the Ludwigshafen Challenger back in 2019.
Sebastian Fanselow
24 - 28win/loss
448
273
LLWWLWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-34 | 7-9 | 14-18 | 8-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-31 | 24-9 | 20-15 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 5-11 | 17-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 17-13 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-15 | 34-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 331, the German got to the qualifications after defeating Andrej Martin 4-6 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications against Martin, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match, Fanselow scored 90 points vs Martin’s 79. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fanselow blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Fanselow lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Fanselow put 65% of his first serves in, winning 74% (43/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Martin 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Fanselow has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (333-225). 9-13 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fanselow has an aggregate 102-81 record in the last years on clay.
The German’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Trnava.
Sebastian has a compiled 24-28 win-loss record in 2024, 9-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Szczecin Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Alexey Vatutin
38 - 24win/loss
340
136
LWWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-30 | 0-2 | 32-15 | 18-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-27 | 5-7 | 6-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 38-39 | 8-3 | 19-20 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-38 | 0-1 | 15-26 | 16-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 400, Vatutin reached the qualifications after beating Alafia Ayeni 6-3 2-6 6-3.
In the qualifications, Vatutin defeated Ayeni (6-3 2-6 6-3). During the match Vatutin scored 103 points vs Ayeni’s 94. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Vatutin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 66% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (16/30) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Ayeni 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
The Russian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne,M25 Creteil and M25 Deauville.
Alexey has a composed 38-24 win-loss record in 2024, 29-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fanselow | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 26 |
| Pts | 90-79 | 103-94 |
| Total Points | 169 | 197 |
| Winners | 43 | 36 |
| %Winners | 48% | 35% |
Both Fanselow and Vatutin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Fanselow dropped 1 set, while Alexey Vatutin dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Fanselow and Vatutin have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Fanselow played 1 game more than Vatutin. The German scored 43 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian managed to score 36 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fanselow | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 57/87 |
| %1st in | 65% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 36/57 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 16/30 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 53% |
Fanselow blasted 3 aces . Vatutin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Fanselow won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Vatutin won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fanselow | Vatutin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 31% |
| Conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 71% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The German broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Fanselow surrendered his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Alexey conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fanselow | |||
| Q1 Martin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 90-79 | 90-79 | |
| Total points | 169 | 169 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 58/89 | 58/89 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 43/58 | 43/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Vatutin | |||
| Q1 Ayeni |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 103-94 | 103-94 | |
| Total points | 197 | 197 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 57/87 | 57/87 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 36/57 | 36/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 16/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLLW
LWWLWWLWWW 
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