Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.159
Liudmila Samsonova -> 5.3
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova – Beijing 08-October-2023
Iga Swiatek
58 - 7win/loss
1
1
WWWLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58-7 | 28-4 | 26-2 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Swiatek reached the 4th round after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 7-6(6), Ena Shibahara 6-0 6-1 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 64 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 45. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Pavlyuchenkova 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (343-74). 28-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled161-41 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.
Swiatek has a composed 58-7 win-loss record in 2024, 28-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Liudmila Samsonova
26 - 19win/loss
16
12
WWWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-19 | 12-11 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16, Ludmilla reached the 4th round after beating Qiang Wang 6-2 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 3-6 7-6(1) 6-3 and Ashlyn Krueger 6-1 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-1 6-1). During the match Samsonova scored 58 points vs Krueger’s 30. Samsonova was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.
About the serving games, Samsonova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Liudmila Samsonova was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (17/20) of her 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Krueger 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.
The Russian has a composed 26-19 win-loss record in 2024, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 54 | 65 |
| Pts | 200-142 | 229-184 |
| Total Points | 342 | 413 |
| Winners | 71 | 81 |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% |
Both Swiatek and Samsonova played 3 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova dropped 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Samsonova (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 11 games less than Samsonova. Swiatek scored 71 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 81 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 93/149 | 111/213 |
| %1st in | 62% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 71/93 | 81/111 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 40/56 | 53/102 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 52% |
Swiatek bagged 9 aces (3 per match). Samsonova fired 15 aces (5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 14 |
| Converted | 11/20 | 14/27 |
| % Converted | 55% | 52% |
| Conceded | 4 | 16 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 50% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
The Pole broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R1 Rakhimova |
R2 Shibahara |
R3 Pavlyuchenkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-66 | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 13 | 18 | 54 | |
| pts | 76-68 | 60-29 | 64-45 | 200-142 | |
| Total points | 144 | 89 | 109 | 342 | |
| Winners | 27 | 20 | 24 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% | 38% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 24/34 | 31/48 | 93/149 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 71% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 20/24 | 24/31 | 71/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 83% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 8/10 | 12/17 | 40/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 80% | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 | 3/5 | 11/20 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 60% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Wang |
R2 Bouzkova |
R3 Krueger |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 3-6 7-61 6-3 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 31 | 14 | 65 | |
| pts | 69-59 | 102-95 | 58-30 | 229-184 | |
| Total points | 128 | 197 | 88 | 413 | |
| Winners | 23 | 41 | 17 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% | 29% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 12 | 0 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 0 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 34/74 | 57/103 | 20/36 | 111/213 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 55% | 56% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 41/57 | 17/20 | 81/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 72% | 85% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/40 | 23/46 | 12/16 | 53/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 50% | 75% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 3/6 | 5/12 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 42% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 50% | – | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWWWLW
WWWLWWWLWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Donna VekicVekic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-7) – H2H and prediction
