Diana Shnaider and Sara Errani will play each other in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.093
Sara Errani -> 7.3
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Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Sara Errani
This will be the 2nd time that Diana Shnaider and Sara Errani square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Shnaider (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Shnaider won 7-6(3) 7-5 in the 1st round in the Uruguay back in 2022.
Diana Shnaider
45 - 17win/loss
18
18
WWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-17 | 21-9 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Diana got to the 3rd round after beating Nadia Podoroska 6-0 6-1 and Clara Tauson 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Tauson (6-4 6-4). During the match, Shnaider scored 70 points vs Tauson’s 62. Shnaider was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shnaider recorded 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Diana Shnaider was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (32/43) of her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diana broke Tauson twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diana hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.
Shnaider has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 69% of her matches (139-61). 21-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Shnaider has a compiled46-26 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hua Hin where she defeated Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she overcame Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.
Diana has a compiled 45-17 win-loss record in 2024, 21-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Sara Errani
26 - 18win/loss
96
5
WWLLLLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-18 | 6-7 | 13-7 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-31 | 11-9 | 21-17 | 3-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 8-10 | 21-15 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 6-10 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-13 | 9-8 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 96, Errani reached the 3rd round after defeating Cristina Bucsa 3-6 6-0 6-4 and Caroline Dolehide 7-5 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Dolehide (7-5 7-5). During the match Errani scored 87 points vs Dolehide’s 69. Sara was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Errani wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sara Errani was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (36/48) of her 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sara broke Dolehide 3 times after converting 21% of her break points (3/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sara has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Errani’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Bogota and the Gaiba.
Sara has an aggregate 26-18 win-loss record in 2024, 6-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2012. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shnaider | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 49 |
| Pts | 124-87 | 174-143 |
| Total Points | 211 | 317 |
| Winners | 54 | 69 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Shnaider and Errani played 2 matches. At the moment, Sara Errani dropped 1 set while Diana Shnaider hasn’t dropped a set so far. Shnaider has played 1 set(s) less than Errani (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shnaider played 16 games less than Errani. The Russian scored 54 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 69 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shnaider | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 72/109 | 105/138 |
| %1st in | 66% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 54/72 | 69/105 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 23/37 | 18/33 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 55% |
Shnaider blasted 3 aces (1.5 per match). Errani struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Shnaider won 75% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Errani won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shnaider | Errani |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 10 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 10/29 |
| % Converted | 78% | 34% |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 2 |
| % Saved | 100% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Diana broke her opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Diana was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points. Errani broke her opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. Sara conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.
| Shnaider | ||||
| R1 Podoroska |
R2 Tauson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 20 | 33 | |
| pts | 54-25 | 70-62 | 124-87 | |
| Total points | 79 | 132 | 211 | |
| Winners | 22 | 32 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 43/64 | 72/109 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 32/43 | 54/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 12/21 | 23/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 57% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 2/4 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Errani | ||||
| R1 Bucsa |
R2 Dolehide |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-0 6-4 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 24 | 49 | |
| pts | 87-74 | 87-69 | 174-143 | |
| Total points | 161 | 156 | 317 | |
| Winners | 33 | 36 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/74 | 48/64 | 105/138 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 75% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 33/57 | 36/48 | 69/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 75% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 11/16 | 18/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 69% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 3/14 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 21% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/7 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 29% | 0% | 15% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWWWW
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