H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 30th August 2024

PREVIEW. New York. Sabalenka and Alexandrova will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 30th of August

By
Mark Hall
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.098
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 7.1

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 3-3 for Sabalenka and Alexandrova (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sabalenka won 6-4 6-0 in the 4th round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova – Wimbledon 10-July-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

41 - 11win/loss

Hard
25-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
15-4
Grass
1-1
Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 41-11 25-6 15-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 2, the Belarussian got to the 3rd round after defeating Priscilla Hon 6-3 6-3 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-1.

In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-3 6-1). During the match, Sabalenka scored 55 points vs Bronzetti’s 34. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka made 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Aryna Sabalenka was very effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of her 1st serve and 82% (9/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Bronzetti 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Belarussian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 69% of her matches (359-165). 25-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed214-91 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.

Aryna has a composed 41-11 win-loss record in 2024, 25-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Sabalenka
U.S. Open
Sabalenka's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ekaterina Alexandrova

22 - 20win/loss

Hard
13-9
I Hard
3-1
Clay
1-7
Grass
5-3
Rank
31
High
15
WWLWWLLLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 22-20 13-9 1-7 3-1 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-4 4-5 7-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 31, Alexandrova got to the 3rd round after defeating Viktoriya Tomova 6-7(4) 6-0 7-5 and Iva Jovic 4-6 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round against Jovic, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 7-5). During the match Alexandrova scored 112 points vs Jovic’s 106. Ekaterina was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Alexandrova fired 9 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 50% of her first serves in, winning 74% (39/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (21/53) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Jovic 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Linz.

Alexandrova has a composed 22-20 win-loss record in 2024, 13-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Alexandrova
U.S. Open
Alexandrova's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
E.Alexandrova
2h:20
2h:20
Time on court​
!
5h:34
5h:34
1h:01
1h:01
Last match​
!
3h:01
3h:01
2
2
Match played
2
2
34
34
Games Played​
63
63
4
4
Set played​​
6
6
120
120
Total points​
225
225
60
60
Avg point​
112.5
112.5
49
49
Winners
86
86
24.5
24.5
Avg Winners​
43
43
41%
41%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
16
16
4
4
Avg Aces
8
8
1
1
Double Faults
13
13
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
!
6.5
6.5
49/66
49/66
1st won total​
86/116
86/116
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
23/35
23/35
2nd won total​
40/96
40/96
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
8/15
8/15
BP won
13/27
13/27
4/7.5
4/7.5
Avg BP won
6.5/13.5
6.5/13.5
!
53%
53%
Won
48%
48%
6
6
Conceded
25
25
3
3
Avg Conceded
12.5
12.5
1
1
Broken
8
8
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
4
4
5
5
Saved
17
17
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Alexandrova
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 6
Tot Games 34 63
Pts 120-82 225-193
Total Points 202 418
Winners 49 86
%Winners 41% 38%

Both Sabalenka and Alexandrova played 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 2 sets while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Alexandrova (4 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 29 games less than Alexandrova. Sabalenka scored 49 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Ekaterina recorded 86 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Alexandrova
Aces 8 16
Avg per match 4 8
1st in 66/101 116/212
%1st in 65% 55%
1st pts 49/66 86/116
%1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 23/35 40/96
%2nd pts 66% 42%

Sabalenka bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Alexandrova managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Sabalenka won 74% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Alexandrova
Won 8 13
Converted 8/15 13/27
% Converted 53% 48%
Conceded 6 25
Saved 5 17
% Saved 83% 68%
Times Broken 1 8

Sabalenka broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Hon		 R2
Bronzetti		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 16 34
pts 65-48 55-34 120-82
Total points 113 89 202
Winners 26 23 49
%Winners 40% 42% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 8
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 36/60 30/41 66/101
% 1st in 60% 73% 65%
1st pts 26/36 23/30 49/66
% 1st pts 72% 77% 74%
2nd pts 14/24 9/11 23/35
% 2nd pts 58% 82% 66%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/7 4/8 8/15
Converted % 57% 50% 53%
Conceded 6 0 6
Saved 5/6 0/0 5
Saved % 83% – 42%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Alexandrova
R1
Tomova		 R2
Jovic		 Total
Score 6-74 6-0 7-5 4-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 32 63
pts 113-87 112-106 225-193
Total points 200 218 418
Winners 47 39 86
%Winners 42% 35% 38%
SERVE
Aces 7 9 16
Double Faults 5 8 13
1st in 63/106 53/106 116/212
% 1st in 59% 50% 55%
1st pts 47/63 39/53 86/116
% 1st pts 75% 74% 74%
2nd pts 19/43 21/53 40/96
% 2nd pts 44% 40% 42%
Breaks
Won 7 6 13
Converted 7/14 6/13 13/27
Converted % 50% 46% 48%
Conceded 12 13 25
Saved 9/12 8/13 17
Saved % 75% 62% 69%
Times Broken 3 5 8

Head 2 Head

Aryna Sabalenka
  • 2Slam
  • 15Main
  • 4ITF
  • 2Minor
Ekaterina Alexandrova
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 6ITF
  • 4Minor

Aryna
Sabalenka

3:3

Ekaterina
Alexandrova

Rank

2

High

1

2h:20Played

1Hard1

1I.hard1

1Grass1

Rank

31

High

15

5h:34Played
Win Loss
Sabalenka
WWWWWWWLWW
Alexandrova
WWLWWLLLWL
2024 2023 2022
41 - 11
22 - 20
25-6
Hard
13-9
0-0
I Hard
3-1
15-4
Clay
1-7
1-1
Grass
5-3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka
More Stats
Click here
Alexandrova Ekaterina Alexandrova