Emma Navarro and Marta Kostyuk will square off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emma Navarro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emma Navarro is the pick to win this match.
Emma Navarro -> 1.6
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Emma Navarro vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Emma Navarro and Marta Kostyuk clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Navarro (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Navarro won 7-5 7-5 in the 3rd round in Toronto back in August 2024.
Emma Navarro
49 - 20win/loss
8
8
LLWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-24 | 33-14 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after beating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1 and Arantxa Rus 6-1 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Emma had a good straight sets win against Rus (6-1 6-1). During the match, Navarro scored 57 points vs Rus’s 31. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navarro blasted 2 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Emma Navarro was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (20/26) of her 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Emma broke Rus 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 65% of the points she played.
Navarro has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of her matches (198-107). 28-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Navarro has a composed66-46 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Hobart where she defeated Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
The American has an overall 49-20 win-loss record in 2024, 28-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Marta Kostyuk
31 - 16win/loss
18
16
LWLLWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-20 | 24-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Marta got to the 3rd round after beating Mccartney Kessler 6-2 6-3 and Harriet Dart 7-6(10) 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marta had a good straight sets win against Dart (7-610 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 77 points vs Dart’s 57. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk struck 5 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 50% of her first serves in, winning 83% (25/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (10/30) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Dart 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kostyuk hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Marta’s best result of the season was getting to the final in San Diego and Stuttgart.
Marta has a compiled 31-16 win-loss record in 2024, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 37 |
| Pts | 119-64 | 146-104 |
| Total Points | 183 | 250 |
| Winners | 41 | 52 |
| %Winners | 34% | 36% |
Both Navarro and Kostyuk played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Navarro and Kostyuk have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Navarro played 9 games less than Kostyuk. The American scored 41 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 52 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4 |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 61/117 |
| %1st in | 56% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 52/61 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 21/40 | 22/56 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 39% |
Navarro managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Kostyuk managed to score 8 aces (4 per match). Navarro won 80% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 85% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 10 |
| Converted | 11/16 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 69% | 53% |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Saved | 5 | 4 |
| % Saved | 83% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The American broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. The American dropped her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. The Ukrainian broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Navarro | ||||
| R1 Blinkova |
R2 Rus |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | 28 | |
| pts | 62-33 | 57-31 | 119-64 | |
| Total points | 95 | 88 | 183 | |
| Winners | 21 | 20 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 26/47 | 51/91 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 20/26 | 41/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 13/21 | 21/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 62% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/6 | 11/16 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 83% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Kessler |
R2 Dart |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-610 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 37 | |
| pts | 69-47 | 77-57 | 146-104 | |
| Total points | 116 | 134 | 250 | |
| Winners | 27 | 25 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 31/57 | 30/60 | 61/117 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 25/30 | 52/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 83% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 10/30 | 22/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 33% | 39% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 6/10 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 60% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLWWWW
LWLLWWLWWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Sara ErraniErrani – Caroline DolehideDolehide (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Anna BondarBondar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Iva JovicJovic (4-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Yafan WangWang – Diane ParryParry (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Maya JointJoint (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Harriet DartDart (7-610 6-1) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Donna VekicVekic – Greetje MinnenMinnen (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Erika AndreevaAndreeva (6-73 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Clara BurelBurel (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Arantxa RusRus (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo Grassi MazzuchiPablo Grassi Mazzuchi – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Johan NiklesNikles – Diego HidalgoHidalgo (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Vasile-Alexandru GhileaGhilea (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexandar LazarovLazarov – Simone RoncalliRoncalli (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez – Brian BencicBencic (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Andrey ChepelevChepelev (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Nino PortalesPortales – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Sara ErraniErrani – Caroline DolehideDolehide (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Clara TausonTauson (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Anna BondarBondar (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Karolina PliskovaPliskova (0-0 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ena ShibaharaShibahara (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jessika PonchetPonchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Renata ZarazuaZarazua (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara ErraniErrani – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Yafan WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Donna VekicVekic – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elise MertensMertens (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-3) – H2H and prediction
