Jasmine Paolini and Karolina Pliskova will play each other in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.56
Karolina Pliskova -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Karolina Pliskova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pliskova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Pliskova won 6-0 6-2 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2021.
Highlights Karolina Pliskova vs Jasmine Paolini – Australian Open 09-February-2021
Jasmine Paolini
34 - 15win/loss
5
5
WLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-15 | 14-7 | 12-5 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Paolini got to the 2nd round after defeating Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-7(5) 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round against Andreescu, Paolini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-2 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 119 points vs Andreescu’s 106. Paolini was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (44/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Andreescu 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Paolini has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (319-240). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an overall 105-87 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Dubai where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Jasmine has a composed 34-15 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Karolina Pliskova
20 - 15win/loss
44
1
WLWLWLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-15 | 10-9 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 19-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-21 | 12-9 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-19 | 23-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, Karolina reached the 2nd round after beating Mayar Sherif 6-3 0-6 7-5.
In the 1st round, Karolina defeated Sherif (6-3 0-6 7-5).During the match Pliskova scored less points (5) than Sherif. In fact, the world no. 5 won 96 points vs Sherif’s. That means that Pliskova was more focused during the important points. Pliskova was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Pliskova fired 6 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Karolina Pliskova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 56% of her first serves in, winning 59% (29/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (16/39) on the 2nd serve. Pliskova broke Sherif 6 times after converting 33% of her break points (6/18).
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Napoca where she beat Ana Bogdan in the final 6-4 6-3.
The Czech has an aggregate 20-15 win-loss record in 2024, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 27 |
| Pts | 119-106 | 96-101 |
| Total Points | 225 | 197 |
| Winners | 44 | 29 |
| %Winners | 37% | 30% |
Both Paolini and Pliskova played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini conceded 1 set, while Karolina Pliskova dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Pliskova have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Paolini played 4 games more than Pliskova. Paolini scored 44 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech fired 29 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6 |
| 1st in | 66/103 | 49/88 |
| %1st in | 64% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 44/66 | 29/49 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 16/39 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 41% |
Paolini managed to score 2 aces . Pliskova managed to score 6 aces . Paolini won 67% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 6 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 6/18 |
| % Converted | 44% | 33% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 60% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Italian broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Jasmine surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponent 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R1 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 119-106 | 119-106 | |
| Total points | 225 | 225 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 66/103 | 66/103 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 44/66 | 44/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 20/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Pliskova | |||
| R1 Sherif |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 0-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 96-101 | 96-101 | |
| Total points | 197 | 197 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 49/88 | 49/88 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/49 | 29/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/39 | 16/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/18 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/10 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWLWWW
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